Ethereum (ETH) Long and Short Strategy and Trend Breakthrough Signal Analysis
1. Core Operation Strategy
• Long Strategy:
1. Volume breakout at $4320 → enter long on the right side, using 'recovering this level' as a dynamic stop loss (confirming the validity of the breakout);
2. Pullback to $4182 with valid support → light position trial long, stop loss at $4144 (break below indicates support failure);
3. Hourly close above $4322 → trend continuation signal, target sequentially at $4385 → $4424;
4. Left-side ambush: place long order at $4106, stop loss below $4070 (cautious on pullback low absorption layout).
• Short Strategy:
1. Volume drop below $4288 → enter short on the right side, strictly maintain stop loss (to prevent rebound risk);
2. Resistance encountered at $4351 → light position trial short, stop loss if breakout and close above $4385 (critical point of pressure level defense).
2. Key Levels and Trend Rhythm
• Resistance Level Ladder: $4320 (breakout confirmation line) → $4385 (short-term resistance) → $4424 (trend target);
• Support Level Bottom Line: $4248 (immediate defense) → $4200 (pullback buffer) → $4153 (deep pullback support).
• 4-hour Key Signal: If it breaks below $4236, look down to $4191 → $4155, opening pullback space; if it holds, maintain a strong oscillation pattern.
3. Key Verification of Pattern Breakthrough: Yellow Trend Line and Box Structure
Hourly level needs to focus on two major signals:
• The yellow bullish trend line 'quickly recovered after breaking yesterday,' indicating that the bullish resilience remains, and the trend is not broken;
• Currently has broken through the box midline, if it further breaks through the upper boundary of the box, it is expected to challenge the high of $4391 (box breakout is a prerequisite for opening upward space).
Summary: Breakthrough requires volume support, defense looks at key support
Ethereum is currently in a 'power-up period after breaking through the box midline,' core operation: long positions rely on the breakout at $4320 and maintain above $4322 for follow-up, short positions focus on the $4288 breakdown signal, while closely monitoring whether the box upper boundary breakthrough can be achieved. Discipline first, let the levels and patterns guide the direction.