BlackRock may soon file for a spot Ripple (XRP) ETF, as positive signals have emerged since the SEC and Ripple Labs halted their legal appeals.
Analysts are debating the likelihood of BlackRock officially entering the XRP ETF market, especially after recent legal developments between the SEC and Ripple Labs that open new hopes for this financial product.
MAIN CONTENT
BlackRock is expected to file for the launch of an XRP ETF, especially after the SEC and Ripple Labs concluded their appeals.
The approval rate for the spot XRP ETF has surged to nearly 80%, reflecting significant expectations from the market and institutional investors.
Despite XRP's strong price fluctuations, the major buying zones for traders continue to serve as solid support in the context of short-term caution.
Is BlackRock actually considering filing for an XRP ETF?
BlackRock is the center of speculation regarding the potential filing for a spot Ripple (XRP) ETF after the lawsuit between the SEC and Ripple Labs has halted appeals.
I think BlackRock is waiting to see this development before officially filing for the iShares XRP ETF...
Nate Geraci, President of the ETF Institute, 2025, X.com
Nate Geraci's opinion emphasizes that BlackRock may want to wait for a definitive legal outcome before deciding to expand its ETF portfolio into XRP. This wait shows that the group is extremely cautious but also proactively seizing opportunities as the legal framework becomes clearer.
If BlackRock only chooses Bitcoin and Ethereum without tapping into other major assets like XRP, they will limit their influence and miss out on growth potential from diversification in cryptocurrency products.
Why is the SEC and Ripple Labs halting appeals a turning point for the XRP ETF?
After the SEC and Ripple Labs officially concluded all appeals related to the legal dispute, the major barriers preventing the XRP ETF seem to have been removed, paving the way for major institutions like BlackRock.
The SEC's conclusion of the appeals is the most direct signal, significantly reducing legal risks and increasing expectations for the approval of the XRP ETF.
Independent report, Glassnode, 2025
Previously, XRP ETF applications were delayed or assessed as high-risk due to the prolonged legal dispute. Once the legal situation becomes clear, large funds will seriously consider launching competitive ETFs.
The possibility of BlackRock's participation also means that the XRP ETF is not just a speculative product but has the potential to become a conduit for institutional capital into the cryptocurrency market, expanding liquidity and elevating XRP's value.
What approval rate has the XRP ETF reached after the legal update?
Immediately after news about the SEC and Ripple Labs concluding their appeals spread through the market, the predicted approval rate for the XRP ETF skyrocketed to approximately 80% on leading prediction platforms.
The approval rate for the spot XRP ETF has significantly increased to nearly 80% on the Polymarket prediction market.
Polymarket, data as of August 8, 2025
This figure is particularly noteworthy when compared to the previous prediction of only 66%, reflecting a shift in sentiment, as well as investor confidence in the prospects of an XRP ETF in the near future.
Additionally, although members like SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw were once thought to hinder cryptocurrency ETF products, this member remains a minority and does not have enough power to prevent the launch of the XRP ETF.
What is the difference in opinions among experts regarding the prospects of BlackRock's XRP ETF?
Experts still have notable debates about the possibility of BlackRock expanding into an XRP ETF. Some argue that the value of the ETF will diminish if it goes beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, while others see significant potential from diversification.
BlackRock is likely to continue focusing on the top two assets, Bitcoin and Ethereum, due to diminishing profit expectations with other major coins.
Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, 2025
The viewpoint from Eric Balchunas reflects caution in risk governance for institutional investment products, limiting exposure to potentially volatile assets outside the two largest coins in the market.
However, in the context of increasing global institutional capital inflow into cryptocurrency ETFs, many opinions predict that the expansion into XRP or Solana is inevitable for large funds to remain competitive in terms of portfolio appeal.
Has BlackRock officially filed for an XRP ETF and SOL yet?
As of now, BlackRock has not yet submitted an official application to launch a spot XRP or Solana ETF, which is why the market is particularly monitoring every new move from this group.
The lack of urgency in filing reflects BlackRock's continued strategy of caution, as previously demonstrated with cryptocurrency ETF products, while carefully evaluating all legal and regulatory factors before proceeding.
Moreover, last year, Ms. Samara Cohen - BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer - emphasized that institutional investors still lean towards Bitcoin and Ethereum, while excluding the possibility of ETFs with other coins in the near future.
What are the specific market developments immediately following the legal events and ETF expectations?
In the past week, the market witnessed over 6 billion USD worth of XRP being liquidated, marking a shift in demand from whales to negative and putting pressure on the 3 USD support level.
Despite high selling supply, the unexpected developments after the SEC - Ripple Labs halted appeals propelled XRP's price to surge by 11% to 3.30 USD, exemplifying the 'shock-absorbing' role of ETF expectations on asset prices.
How are option traders reacting to the new XRP trend?
Data from Laevitas shows that option traders remain extremely cautious: the volume of short-term put options (betting on a price drop) continues to dominate, despite a strong price recovery.
Additionally, the 25 Delta Skew index for XRP has dropped to negative levels over 1 day, 1 week, and 3 months - reflecting the ongoing defensive sentiment against short-term risks, not fully trusting the recent recovery.
Source: Laevitas, XRP option trading data for August 2025
What are the strong support levels on the current XRP price chart?
On the Glassnode chart of accumulated cost distribution, there are two areas where traders have accumulated a total of over 1.8 billion XRP at each price level: the 2.70–2.80 USD range and the 2.40–2.50 USD range.
These two price ranges are serving as a foundation, creating a 'price cushion' in case selling pressure continues or the market adjusts in the short term.
Source: Glassnode, heatmap of XRP cost distribution for August 2025
How does BlackRock's ETF development strategy compare with those of other major institutions?
BlackRock is known for its stringent approach, often leading in risk management and strict legal compliance when introducing new products to the market, differing from many other investment funds that tend to seek competitive advantages by issuing a variety of ETFs for Altcoins.
Investment organizations like Fidelity and Ark Invest have experimented with ETFs for a wider variety of cryptocurrencies but have not yet achieved similar success in liquidity and capital flow on the scale of BlackRock's Bitcoin or Ethereum ETFs.
Cryptocurrency ETF Product Flow Organization Highlights BlackRock Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum (no XRP, SOL) Focus on governance, prioritize legal matters, expand when legal clarity is achieved. Fidelity Bitcoin ETF, Altcoin experimentation Flexible approach, accepting higher risks Ark Invest Bitcoin ETF, experimenting with multiple Altcoins Actively diversifying, continuously expanding new products.
What is the potential impact of an XRP ETF on the DeFi market?
If approved, the XRP ETF is expected to bring significant capital flow from traditional financial institutions into the Ripple-based DeFi ecosystem. This capital flow expands liquidity, increases the market value of XRP, and boosts confidence in non-fungible token (NFT) projects, staking, and cross-chain bridge services.
An XRP ETF will also help standardize digital asset products, laying the groundwork for hybrid financial products that combine traditional and decentralized aspects, significantly contributing to the digitization of real assets.
What is the expert opinion on the long-term significance of the XRP ETF?
Many experts believe that the emergence of an XRP ETF will be a historic turning point, affirming legality, sustainability, and boosting the growth momentum of digital assets in the modern financial market.
The presence of an XRP ETF, if it becomes a reality, will contribute to standardizing the digital asset market, ushering in an era of institutional cryptocurrency investment globally.
Cited from the report 'ETF Crypto Evolution', Investopedia, 2025
If BlackRock – one of the largest fund managers in the world – leads the expansion into an XRP ETF, it will undoubtedly create a 'domino effect' forcing competitors to quickly catch up in terms of cryptocurrency financial products and technology.
What stage is XRP in its growth cycle after the ETF events?
Despite a strong recovery wave following the legal news, XRP still faces considerable profit-taking pressure and short-term defensive sentiment. The success of the ETF product could create new momentum for XRP to return to a long-term growth cycle, especially with the support of major financial institutions.
However, traders and investors still need to closely monitor macro factors, actions from the SEC, movements of XRP whales, as well as BlackRock's strategy to identify the optimal investment timing.
Frequently Asked Questions
Has BlackRock submitted an application for an XRP ETF yet?
As of now, BlackRock has not yet submitted an application to launch a spot XRP ETF, only Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.
Why has the approval rate for the XRP ETF significantly increased recently?
After the SEC and Ripple Labs concluded all legal appeals, the market believes that risks have significantly decreased, paving the way for the XRP ETF, leading to an increased predicted approval rate of nearly 80%.
Who are the top experts evaluating the likelihood of XRP ETF approval?
Prominent figures like Nate Geraci (ETF Institute) and Eric Balchunas (Bloomberg) regularly provide insights with reputable analyses on the XRP ETF and market developments.
What is the reason for BlackRock's hesitation to launch an XRP ETF?
BlackRock prioritizes waiting for clarity on legal matters, assessing all risks and market fundamentals before deciding to expand its portfolio into XRP ETFs or other Altcoins.
Does XRP still face selling pressure after recent events?
The market continues to witness strong selling pressure from whales and caution from option traders, despite positive expectations about the ETF.
What is the main technical support level for XRP?
The two price ranges where traders accumulated over 1.8 billion XRP are 2.70–2.80 USD and 2.40–2.50 USD, seen as important short-term support levels.
How will the existence of an XRP ETF affect the DeFi market?
The XRP ETF will drive institutional capital into the DeFi ecosystem, creating strong growth momentum for the Ripple project and the entire digital asset market.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/xrp-etf-co-hoi-duyet-tang-manh/
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