๐น 1. Final Verdict in Ripple vs. SEC?
August 15 is the deadline for the SEC to submit its final appeal documents or formally withdraw the case against Ripple.
If the SEC drops the appeal, the long-running legal battle will officially end, confirming that programmatic$XRP sales are not securities.
This would also release the $125M escrow penalty, closing a major regulatory chapter.
๐น 2. Global Context: BRICS Summit (August 9โ15)
The BRICS Summit in Kazan runs through the same week. Discussions focus on de-dollarization, digital payments, and alternative financial rails.
XRP Ledger (XRPL) is being watched as a potential infrastructure layer for interbank settlements between non-Western nations.
๐น 3. Rippleโs Ecosystem: RLUSD & U.S. Trust Charter
Ripple is pursuing a U.S. national trust license โ key to unlocking real-time payment capabilities and broader stablecoin integrations.
Its stablecoin RLUSD, launched in late 2024, already has ~$470M in circulation and may soon connect to banking rails.
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๐ XRP/USDC Technical Analysis โ August 2025
๐ 4H Chart
Bullish breakout from a falling wedge at $2.82โ2.85 with volume confirmation.
Resistance: $3.03โ3.10 (July high).
Support: $2.72โ2.78 (breakout zone); below that โ $2.50โ2.55.
๐ 1D Chart
Bullish flag on daily โ forming after a strong rally in June.
EMA21 (daily) currently rising near $2.68 โ acts as dynamic support.
RSI around 58 โ neutral to bullish.
MACD nearing bullish crossover.
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๐ฃ๏ธ Market Sentiment
Ali Martinez (on-chain analyst):
โHistorically, XRP reacts violently to SEC updates. A break above $3.10 opens the way to $3.70 and potentially $4.20.โ
Dark Defender (Elliott Wave):
โWe are in wave 3 from the March lows โ with targets at $3.78 and $5.80 if $3.30 is broken soon.โ
Santiment (on-chain data):
โWhale wallet activity is up 17% week-over-week. A shift from altcoins into XRP is underway.โ
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๐ Bullish Scenario โ What If All Goes Right?
๐ Bearish Scenario โ What If Expectations Collapse?
๐งญ Candle Times Insight
August 15 isnโt just a deadline โ it may be XRPโs inflection point.
With regulatory, geopolitical, and fundamental forces converging, the market is holding its breath.
From a technical perspective, watch the $3.10 resistance and $2.70 support. Reactions to news โ not just the news itself โ will define the trend.
Weโre not predicting hype. Weโre tracking levels, flows, and volatility.
