#BNB走势 📊 **I. Bull-Bear Signal of Technical Indicators**
1. **EMA Support Strength**
- **The 4-hour EMA144 (currently 144.169) has not been broken after repeated testing**, indicating that this moving average has become a key dynamic support in the short term. Historical data shows that EMA144 has repeatedly served as a watershed for trends in BNB's 4-hour chart, especially forming a dense support zone in the 760-770 range.
- If the price stabilizes at this moving average, it may trigger a bullish counterattack, targeting the resistance area of 790-800; conversely, if it breaks below, it may test the 745-755 area (where the daily EMA50 coincides with the previous breakout neckline).
2. **Divergence of Momentum Indicators**
- **MACD**: A bearish crossover has appeared at the daily level (MACD line below the signal line), and the histogram's negative value has expanded (-8.63), indicating short-term momentum is weak. However, the weekly MACD is still in the positive range, and the medium to long-term trend remains intact.
- **RSI**: The current 4-hour RSI is about 62-65, in a neutral to strong area, not overbought but caution is needed for hourly chart top divergence risks. If RSI breaks 70 or drops below 50, it will strengthen the directional bias.
#BNB金铲子挖矿 ⚖️ **II. Key Support and Resistance Structure**
| **760-770** | Bullish Defense Zone | Historical resistance turned support + EMA144 dynamic support |
| **745-755** | Strong support zone | Round bottom neckline + Dense long position stop-loss area |
| **790-800** | Breakthrough target | Previous high resistance + Fibonacci extension level |
| **830-860** | Historical high resistance | July top area, psychological pressure point |
- **Bearish Threat**: If it breaks below the 760-770 support zone, it may trigger stop-loss orders, accelerating the drop towards 745 (round bottom neckline), or even testing 730 (daily Bollinger lower track).
- **Bullish Opportunity**: After holding EMA144, breaking through 780 can confirm a short-term reversal, opening the path to 800+.
📈 **III. Price Patterns and Trend Structures**
1. **Pullback After Round Bottom Breakout**
The daily level forms a round bottom pattern, with the neckline at 745, and the current price is in the pullback phase after the breakout. If it holds 760-770, the target points to the 900-1000 range.
2. **Bull Flag Continuation Brewing**
The 4-hour chart shows the price oscillating in the 760-780 range; if accompanied by a decrease in volume, it may form a 'bull flag' structure, with a measured target looking to 850 after breaking the upper edge of the flag (780).
💹 **IV. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment**
- **Volume Verification**: Recent 24-hour trading volume has stabilized between $1.1 billion and $1.9 billion, but there has been no significant increase in volume when the price drops, indicating that selling pressure is manageable. If the rebound is accompanied by increased volume, it will enhance the effectiveness of the breakout.
- **Institutional Position Signal**: Institutions like Nano Labs have increased their holdings of BNB as treasury assets (purchased 128,000 coins), reflecting long-term confidence.
- **Market Resilience**: Compared to mainstream coins like ETH and SOL (which have retraced 38%-60% from their highs), BNB has always maintained within 30% of its historical highs, highlighting its anti-dip characteristics.
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🔮 **V. Scenario Simulation**
| **Strong Bullish Counterattack** | Volume breakout above 780 and stabilization above EMA144 | 790 → 800 → 850 (historical peak) | 40% |
| **Consolidation Continues** | Continued decrease in volume in the 760-780 range | Waiting for BTC or macro catalysts to break through | 35% |
| **Bearish Short-Term Dominance** | Breaking below 760 and closing below 755 on 4-hour | 745 → 730 → 700 (psychological support) | 25% |
💡 **VI. Trading Strategy Recommendations**
1. **Bullish Strategy**
- **Entry**: Gradually layout near 766, with strict stop-loss below 755.
- **Add Position Signal**: Volume breakout above 780 or 4-hour RSI stabilizing above 65.
- **Target**: 790 (short-term take profit) → 850 (swing target).
2. **Bearish Strategy**
- **Entry**: Chase shorts after breaking below 755, or test short if it rebounds to 775-780 and faces resistance.
- **Target**: 745 → 730.
3. **Core Risk Control**
- Single trade stop-loss not exceeding 2% of capital, strict stop-loss required if EMA144 is broken.
- Pay attention to Bitcoin's movements and the Federal Reserve's statements on August 6-7, to guard against systemic risks.
> 💎 **Conclusion**: BNB's repeated testing of EMA144 near 766 highlights the intense struggle between bulls and bears in the key cost area. **The short-term direction depends on the defense results in the 760-770 range**, but the medium to long-term technical structure still leans towards bullish (weekly EMA50 support + round bottom pattern). It is recommended to use 745 as the dividing line for long and short positions; a breakout to the upside should be chased, while a breakdown should be defended and observed.