📊【BTC Lazy Package | Technical vs Macro Perspective】
Currently, BTC is in a three-stage structure: short-term weak, medium-term consolidation, and long-term bullish not destroyed. Lazy readers can grasp the overall situation at once👇
【Short-term Trend】
📉 Price just broke below 115k, short-term support at 113k, if it loses support again, it may test 110k.
📈 If the rebound does not return to 115k, bearish continuation is expected.
🧠 Operation Suggestions:
‣ If 115k meets resistance, consider shorting, with a stop loss set above 117k
‣ If it breaks below 112.5k, consider chasing shorts, with a stop loss set at 113.5k
📌 Key Support: 110k, psychological bottom at 99.5k
【Medium-term Trend (1–3 months)】
📦 Large range consolidation is still ongoing: 100k–126k
💡 Spot ETF capital inflow, on-chain transfers to exchanges hitting new lows = strong capital lock-up.
🧠 Operation Suggestions:
‣ Play high sell low in the 110–115k consolidation zone
‣ If looking to go long, wait for stabilization at 110k, stop loss at 108k
‣ If looking to short, try orders near 117k, stop loss at 118k
【Long-term Trend (3 months or more)】
🏔 Holding above 99.5k, the major bullish trend is not broken.
📉 If it breaks, it may test 90k–85k
📈 Long bullish strategy: staggered deployment at 100k, 90k, stop loss at 85k
🎯 Take profit area: 126k–130k
🧠 Long-term driving forces:
‣ Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle
‣ Inflation + demand for safe-haven assets
‣ Shift in crypto regulation to favorable
‣ ETF effect + asset allocation of the younger generation
【Important Reminders】
⚠️ If the trend changes, please pay attention to strong signals + major news
⚠️ Watch out for black swans (geopolitical events, liquidity events)
⚠️ Never go heavy on one-sided positions, set stop losses properly, and entering in batches is the way to go.
📌 Summary:
If you want to short in the short term, please follow the rhythm; if you want to profit in the medium term, remember to watch the range; if you are long-term, please take the 100k lifeline seriously.
This round is not a single wave, but a practice of major fluctuations.
Remember, the market will not wait for you to be ready before it happens.
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