After more than ten years of trading cryptocurrencies, 2025 marks the tenth year of being a professional trader. Currently, I have a stable monthly income in seven figures, and an annual income in eight figures, all thanks to this trading strategy, with a win rate of 90%. Methods I have personally tested: last year, in less than a year, I turned an initial capital of 50,000 into nearly several million.
If you plan to invest in the cryptocurrency market, please take a few minutes to read my response word for word, as it may save your life and your family.
Thousands of originally happy families ultimately fall apart, stemming from the pursuit of an unattainable dream of making a fortune in the cryptocurrency market. I believe the reason I have been able to continue on this trading path is that I have been diligently learning—not only understanding the basics, but also analyzing news and studying technical indicators, alongside forming a self-stabilizing profit trading system!
In addition to solid skills, I also strictly adhere to the following 10 trading rules!
First, do not easily let go of low-priced chips; maintain firm belief and guard against market manipulators.
Second, chasing after rises and selling during falls is always a major taboo. When the overall trend is optimistic, accumulating positions during declines is less risky, lower cost, and greater profit than chasing after rises.
Third, reasonably allocate profits to maximize the release of funds rather than continuously increasing positions.
Fourth, recover capital during sharp rises and hold coins during sharp declines. At all times, maintain a correct mindset; do not speculate, do not be impetuous, do not be greedy, do not fear, and do not engage in unprepared battles.
Fifth, being positioned early or investing in low-priced private placements relies on experience and the bet on the future of that coin by market makers, while the subsequent secondary market competition relies on technology and information to follow the market makers. Do not confuse the two, or it will lead to chaos.
Sixth, when building positions and selling, it is essential to do so in layers and segments, gradually widening the price levels, effectively controlling the risk and profit ratios.
Seventh, familiarize yourself with the interconnected effects; when trading cryptocurrencies, pay attention to the trends of other coins. Each cryptocurrency does not exist in isolation, seemingly unrelated but actually intricately connected. There are many tools available now to check coin information and news.
Eighth, the allocation of holdings must be reasonable; the distribution of hot coins and value coins should be balanced, paying attention to the ratio of resilience to pressure and profit intake. Being too conservative may miss opportunities, while being too aggressive may face high-risk situations! The greatest characteristic of value coins is stability, while the greatest feature of hot coins is volatility, which may lead to sudden rises or falls.
Ninth, having coins in the market, money in the account, and cash in your pocket is the safest and most reassuring standard configuration. Do not go all in; going all in leads to certain death. The key to your mindset and success lies in grasping risk control and reasonable capital allocation. Investing with spare money is fundamental.
Tenth, mastering basic operations, learning to apply knowledge in various contexts, grasping the fundamental thought processes of trading, observation is the prerequisite, remember each high and low point as reference data, learn to record, and develop a habit of reading and filtering information.
From the perspective of trading mindset, selling is an ambiguous and unpleasant task. However, I believe that once a coin reaches the selling conditions, it should be decisively abandoned; no one can perfectly sell at the ideal position in this market. The selling position should not pursue the highest price but instead seek a reasonable one! Therefore, I am sharing the technical skills and key points for exiting with a 90% probability, verified multiple times over the past ten years, with all retail investors!
So how to trade cryptocurrencies effectively? Once a person enters the financial market, it is challenging to turn back. If you are currently at a loss but still confused, and if you plan to make cryptocurrency trading your second career, you must understand the 'Ahr999 Holding Coin Indicator'. Understanding it thoroughly can save you from many detours, and these are personal experiences and feelings that I suggest you collect and repeatedly ponder!
One, overview
This article will mainly introduce how to use indicators to determine tops and bottoms, and how to optimize investment strategies.
2. The Five Major Indicators Teach You How to Judge Tops and Bottoms
1. Ahr999 Holding Coin Indicator
Indicator introduction: This indicator was created by Weibo user Ahr999 to assist Bitcoin regular investment users in making investment decisions based on timing strategies. This indicator implies the yield of Bitcoin in short-term regular investments and the deviation of Bitcoin price from expected valuation.
How to use:
When the ahr999 index is at 0.45, it is suitable for bottom-fishing.
When the ahr999 index is between 0.45 and 1.2, it is suitable for regular investment.
When the ahr999 index is greater than 1.2, the coin price is relatively high, and regular investment is not suitable.
Recommended reading of the indicator author's (Holding Bitcoin)
2. Rainbow Chart
Indicator introduction: The rainbow chart is a long-term valuation tool for Bitcoin. It uses a logarithmic growth curve to predict Bitcoin's potential future price direction.
It covers the rainbow colored bands at the top of the logarithmic growth curve channel, trying to highlight the market sentiment of each rainbow color phase as the price passes through it. Thus highlighting potential buying and selling opportunities.
So far, Bitcoin prices continue to remain within the rainbow colored bands of the logarithmic growth channel.
How to use:
The closer to blue, the more it indicates that the price is near the bottom.
The closer to red, the more it indicates that the price is near the top.
3. RSI
Indicator introduction: RSI (Relative Strength Index) is an indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of Bitcoin price changes, calculating the RSI score based on the performance of the previous 12 months to determine market trends and whether it is in overbought or oversold territory. The stronger the upward momentum, the closer the RSI is to 100, and a high RSI indicates that the price changes have been favorable in the past 12 months; conversely, the stronger the downward momentum, the closer the RSI is to 0, and a low RSI indicates that price changes have been relatively negative.
How to use:
An RSI value of 30 or below (the closer to red) indicates that Bitcoin is oversold, or it may soon face overselling, making it suitable for considering bottom-fishing.
An RSI value of 70 or above (the closer to green) indicates that Bitcoin is overbought and may soon face a decline, making it suitable for considering selling.
4. 200-week moving average heat map
Indicator introduction: This indicator uses a color heat map based on percentage growth from the 200-week moving average.
Assign a color to the price chart based on the monthly percentage growth of the 200-week moving average.
Historically, in each major market cycle, Bitcoin prices have bottomed near the 200-week moving average.
How to use:
The closer the dot color on the price chart is to red, the more it indicates that the market is overheated, suitable for selling.
The closer to purple, the more it indicates that the market is too cold, suitable for buying.
It is important to note that the indicator failed during the peak of the last bull market, indicating that we cannot rely solely on indicators. Indicators are just tools to assist our judgment, and we also need to consider many other factors.
5. CVDD
Indicator introduction: CVDD stands for Cumulative Value-days Destroyed.
How to use: When the Bitcoin price touches the green line, it indicates that Bitcoin is severely undervalued and presents a good buying opportunity.
Summary
To facilitate readers in using these indicators, we have created them into charts.
It is important to note that these indicators provide references for Bitcoin buying and selling timings, and do not imply that other tokens can also be bought.
Three, strategies suitable for cyclical trading
When we engage in long-term trading, it is easy to encounter situations like the one depicted in the following image. Many of these are due to subjective judgment errors, which can be avoided if a strategy is formulated in advance.
1. Combining Martingale Theory with Regular Investment
First, let's understand the concepts of 'Martingale strategy' and 'regular investment'.
Martingale strategy: The Martingale strategy was originally a gambling strategy, which means that in a certain betting game, when losing each time, one doubles the bet until winning. Assuming a fair betting game where the probability of winning or losing is 50%, the probability of losing once at any point in time is 50%, losing twice in a row is 25%, losing three times in a row is 12.5%, losing four times in a row is 6.25%, and so on. The more times you play, the smaller the probability of losing; theoretically, if one has infinite funds, one cannot lose.
Later, the Martingale strategy was applied to trading, manifesting as pyramid-shaped position increases (the Martingale strategy can be subdivided into inverse Martingale, forward Martingale, and scalp Martingale; the one we are introducing here belongs to inverse Martingale).
Regular investment: Regular investment is a long-term investment strategy that averages the purchase price by regularly buying assets according to a plan. This strategy emphasizes continuous investment and long-term holding, rather than attempting to profit from short-term market fluctuations.
When using the above indicators, these indicators cannot tell us the exact bottom and top points; they can only judge the relative bottom and top within a cycle, and we cannot always keep an eye on the indicators, which is why we need to conduct regular investments.
How to formulate a strategy: We can apply the ideas of the Martingale strategy to regular investments to minimize our average holding price. A specific strategy can be formulated like this: The current Bitcoin price is $37,000, assuming we start investing from this price. According to the above indicators, we can determine that the current Bitcoin price is at a moderate position, making it suitable for investment. We set the benchmark investment amount at 1,000 RMB, with an investment frequency set to once a week. In each weekly investment, if the price rises by $1,000, we reduce our investment amount by 5%; if the price falls by $1,000, we increase our investment amount by 5%, of course, provided that the indicators suggest that the Bitcoin price is still within the investment range. When Bitcoin rises beyond this range, we pause the investment plan, and when it returns to the investment range, we continue investing or adjust our positions based on the indicators. These strategy parameters are just examples; different parameters will naturally yield different returns, and readers can formulate their own investment strategies based on this process.
Disadvantages: The Martingale strategy claims to 'never lose money', but this is based on the premise that the trading asset does not go to zero and the trader has unlimited capital. Therefore, the Martingale strategy is not suitable for trading long-tail assets; the larger the trader's capital, the more the advantages of the Martingale strategy can be realized.
2. How to use grid strategies to expand profits
When we invest in the long term, holding Bitcoin spot, the APY deposited in the decentralized lending platform is not high; if deposited in exchange wealth management, the APY is considerable but has limits. If we want to improve the capital utilization rate to earn extra income, using spot grid is a good choice.
Spot grid strategy: The spot grid strategy is an automated strategy that executes low buy high sell within a specific price range. Users only need to set the highest and lowest price of the range and determine the number of grids to begin running the strategy; if needed, they can also pre-set trigger conditions, and when the market reaches the trigger conditions, the strategy automatically starts running. The strategy will calculate the low buy high sell prices for each small grid, automatically placing orders, continuously buying low and selling high to earn profits from market fluctuations.
How to formulate a strategy: Generally speaking, grid strategies are suitable for oscillating markets or oscillating upward trends; they are not suitable for one-sided markets. The disadvantages of grid strategies are evident; when prices rise or fall out of the set range, it can result in missed sales or forced purchases, which is why some call it a garbage strategy. We have optimized the grid strategy; we do not choose conventional non-stable coin/stable coin traditional grid strategies, but select the ETH/BTC trading pair to pair with the infinite grid strategy.
The infinite grid strategy is an advanced version of the ordinary grid strategy. The infinite grid ensures that users hold equivalent value currency assets during rising markets. Using the infinite grid strategy, regardless of how many times the user sells, they will always have assets equivalent to the previous position. For example, if the initial price is 20,000 USDT/BTC and the user holds 1 BTC, they have 20,000 USDT in assets invested. When the price rises to 40,000 USDT/BTC and they sell half a unit, they still have half a unit, maintaining 20,000 USDT in assets invested. When the price rises to 80,000 USDT/BTC and they sell a quarter of a unit, the user still holds a quarter of a unit, and still has 20,000 USDT in assets invested. The infinite grid does not have a definite top range, so using the infinite grid strategy can effectively avoid the situation of missing out on sales due to continuous price increases.
So why choose the ETH/BTC trading pair? Our optimization idea for the grid strategy is how to avoid losses caused by prices exceeding the grid range. However, due to the inherent characteristics of the grid strategy, it cannot solve the losses caused by continuous price declines; we can only reduce the losses resulting from the decline. The ETH/BTC ratio reflects the relative strength of ETH to BTC; from a cyclical perspective, the ETH/BTC rate trends upwards during bull markets and downwards during bear markets. The ETH/BTC trading pair matches well with the infinite grid strategy, which is suitable for long-term gradual bull markets. Moreover, we can not only gain profits based on BTC but also benefit from the price increases of both ETH and BTC in bull markets.
Four, summary
Although the indicators and profit methods introduced in this article are based on Bitcoin as the investment target, readers can also draw parallels and apply the bottom-fishing and top-selling ideas to invest in other coins. Moreover, changes in Bitcoin prices also provide guidance for other tokens' trends, especially for mainstream coins with larger market caps.
No matter what indicators are used, they all have their inherent invariance. Although black swan events often occur in the market, the cryptocurrency market will not go to zero. As long as it does not go to zero and there are participants, prices will continue to fluctuate, existing in cycles. It is not only an estimation of value but also a verification of time. For ordinary investors, as long as they utilize the cycles well to reap the benefits of industry development, they will be fine. This is not only true in cryptocurrency but in other industries as well; the multiplier is not important; what matters is being able to survive sustainably.
The above are the summaries of my more than ten years of trading experience and skills; it may not be applicable to everyone. Each person needs to combine their practice to use and summarize. As a trader, the most frightening thing is not that you have technical problems, but that your understanding is insufficient, falling into these trading traps without realizing it! There is no invincible trading system, only those who use the trading system invincibly! This is the truth; trading systems ultimately return to the individual!
No matter how diligent a fisherman is, he will not go out to sea during a stormy season, but will take good care of his fishing boat. This season will pass, and sunny days will come! Follow Yan An, and you will be taught not only how to fish but also how to fish sustainably. The cryptocurrency market is always open; you can only have a successful life by going with the flow. Remember this!
