Auntie’s 10th Anniversary Celebration: Has the Good News Run Out, and Is the Plummet Starting?
1. News Perspective
1. Market News
From the market news: Today, at the current Auntie’s 10th anniversary celebration, at 8:15 PM, there is the ADP non-farm payroll data coming in. From the existing data, the ADP non-farm payroll is positive for the dollar and the US stock market, but negative for interest rate cuts and the Auntie data. Therefore, if tonight's data is greater than or equal to the forecast value, everyone can go long and then short. If it is below the forecast value but higher than the previous value, it is still negative for interest rate cuts. The market volatility may not be too large, but still prepare for high short operations.
2. Institutional Positions
From the institutional positions: With the market's positions in large contracts continuously weakening and Auntie’s positions also showing a significant decline, when the market's bullish sentiment has run out, the price has shown a pullback, which may be a signal of a cyclical top in the market. Therefore, the recent trading advice is: short-term low buys are acceptable, but try to make high shorts to avoid extreme market conditions. Those holding long positions can consider reducing their positions to leave a small amount, while those in cash can consider entering short positions.
3. Market Sentiment
From the recent market sentiment: the recent market sentiment has shown a significant decrease in volatility, with most prices in consolidation. Therefore, the market trend may reflect the same situation as the sentiment value. We should make adjustments to our positions and adapt to the market's rhythm and trading style, preparing for possible risks. #币安HODLer空投TREE $SOL