A 'super storm' is coming to the global financial market.
Is the cryptocurrency market about to change?
This week will become a turning point for the financial market in 2025.
Before the Federal Reserve's meeting, the market is already restless.
News of a 'leadership change' in Trump's government, unresolved trade tariff pressures, along with the release of US Q2 GDP, July non-farm payrolls, and core inflation data, have pushed the global capital market into a **'data nuclear explosion + policy uncertainty' state**.
The cryptocurrency market will be pushed to the forefront.
1. Core catalysts gather, super data week begins.
Q2 GDP may rebound to 2.4%, but the momentum is questionable (mainly relying on export improvement).
July non-farm payroll additions are expected to slow, and the unemployment rate may rise.
Core PCE inflation may remain high, caught in a dilemma over rate cuts.
Three core data points → directly determine whether the Federal Reserve will start the interest rate cut process.
2. Federal Reserve Decision: Three scenarios that determine the fate of the cryptocurrency market.
The current mainstream market expectation is 'to hold steady,' but data may change everything.
Scenario 1: Strong GDP, stable employment, falling inflation → Maintain interest rates.
→ The cryptocurrency market will mainly consolidate in the short term, with funds on the sidelines.
Scenario 2: Weak GDP, soft employment, high inflation → Rising expectations for interest rate cuts.
→ Bitcoin may soar directly, hitting this year's high or even a historical high.
Scenario 3: Conflicting data → A massive shock is coming, volatility spikes.
→ BTC and ETH experience violent fluctuations, mainstream altcoins move in tandem.
3. Why is the cryptocurrency market a 'barometer'?
Once the signal for interest rate cuts is clear, cryptocurrency assets are expected to welcome 'three-fold good news':
Global funds are seeking high-risk, high-return targets, greatly increasing Bitcoin's attractiveness.
Declining US Treasury yields + a weakening dollar → BTC's digital gold value is strengthened.
ETF expectations boost, institutions step on the gas, and the market is completely ignited.
— It's not an exaggeration, if it takes off this round, BTC has a chance to challenge the $100,000 mark.
4. Potential negative factors should not be ignored.
But if the Federal Reserve turns 'hawkish', the market may also face a sudden blow:
Strong data: Interest rate cuts are unlikely, and the cryptocurrency market faces increased correction pressure.
Trump's government change: Increased policy uncertainty triggers capital flight.
Regulatory clouds linger: If the US SEC/EU signals regulatory crackdowns, the market may face sudden negative impacts.
5. Conclusion: Is it a 'Legendary Week' or a 'Crash Week'?
Next week's Federal Reserve decision and the release of core data will be the most critical turning point for the cryptocurrency market in 2025.
Is Bitcoin set to take off, starting a new bull market?
Or will global policy reverse, and the market cool down again?
Whether you are trading spot or contracts, you must pay attention to these key variables this week.
This is not an ordinary week, but a week that may be recorded in the history of the cryptocurrency world.
Remember: The greatest opportunities are on the eve of the storm; during chaos, discipline is most valuable.$BTC $ETH
