保安小分队-Smile

I have two friends who have been struggling in the contract market recently.

One didn't open a rebate, so losing 2000U really means losing 2000U;

The other opened a rebate link early, and looking back, the platform has refunded him 600U in fees.

The loss is the same, but some can recover funds while others can only eat dirt.

This is the difference between "having a rebate" and "not having a rebate."

It's not about earning more, but about losing less;

It's not a gift, but about getting back the money that should have belonged to you.

Don't hesitate any longer; delaying even one day is real, unnecessary money wasted.

If old users are found to engage in rebate violations (such as registering multiple accounts themselves or having friends register repeatedly), they will completely lose their rebate eligibility.

In the future, rebate programs will lean more towards genuine "new users," and the system may strictly identify devices, IPs, real names, and other information.

Don't attempt to register repeatedly or engage in false promotions, as it may lead to greater losses.
$BTC $ETH

Beijing time Tuesday 23:40, the third round of China-U.S. economic and trade talks has concluded.

This meeting had no climax, nor results, only one keyword was used by both sides: "constructive".

Four core signals investors need to pay attention to👇

① Essentially a "renewal-type negotiation", not a "contract-type outcome"

The focus of this negotiation is:

Will the existing "trade truce" be extended?

But both sides did not provide a clear answer, and even did not reveal any "verbal understanding".

✅ In other words: not pessimistic, but no breakthroughs either.

② No joint statement, still talking past each other

**Chinese side's statement:** calm, phased summary, "in-depth, candid, constructive", emphasizing continued communication;

**U.S. side's statement:** more specific but scattered, mentioning Iran, Russian oil purchases, export controls, raw materials for magnets, etc.;

The only overlapping keyword is: "constructive", while other discourse systems are basically not overlapping.

❗️**Attention signal:** This is a typical "each side's statement", far from reaching a consensus.

③ Trump may announce the extension decision at a "dramatic moment"

The U.S. side stated that it will report the details of the talks to Trump on Wednesday.

Trump himself responded ambiguously: "We will either approve the extension or we won’t";

Looking at past practices, he may announce the extension at a market-sensitive moment to create political dividends.

④ The market has already voted with its feet: response with decline

On Tuesday, all three major U.S. stock indices retreated, with part of the decline due to Trump shortening the ultimatum to Russia;

However, after the news from the China-U.S. talks was released, U.S. stocks experienced further declines;

Indicating that the market feels disappointed and cautious about the "no breakthroughs" negotiation results.
🪙 Cryptocurrency perspective: $BTC , $ETH do not buy expectations for now

Although the China-U.S. talks did not show intense conflicts, there was also no substantial news of "risk alleviation".

In the short term, this poses a marginally bearish sentiment impact on risk assets (including cryptocurrencies).
$BTC , $ETH currently maintains a range-bound fluctuation, lacking strong stimulus signals;

We need to wait for Trump's final statement + the Federal Reserve's evening meeting to jointly act to possibly find direction.

This negotiation has no results, and that itself is the result.
The answer given by the market is: cautious observation, avoiding rash actions.
$BTC

🏛️【Federal Reserve Decision Day Briefing】
✅ It is basically impossible to cut interest rates today

📅 July 29, 2025

🔍 Why this judgment?
🧠 Market consensus is clear:

CME FedWatch tool shows a 97% probability of "keeping the current interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%".

🎙 Federal Reserve officials' attitude:

Powell and most officials have repeatedly stated:

"We need more data to validate; now is not the time to cut rates."

📈 Inflation pressures remain:

Core inflation in June was 2.9%, still above the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2%,

Relaxing too early could lead to a "setback".

⚖️ Minor disagreements still exist internally

Governors Waller and Bowman may lean towards a small rate cut (25 basis points), but are expected to remain in the minority;

Despite President Trump publicly pressuring again, the Federal Reserve still emphasizes "data first, independent decision-making".

📅 The real rate cut window: possibly in September
The market is currently more focused on:
Whether inflation continues to decline
Whether the job market continues to weaken
If both data support, the Federal Reserve may initiate its first rate cut of the year in September.
In the official dot plot, two rate cuts for the year remain the mainstream prediction.

🧭 Key points to watch in tonight's press conference:
Will Powell hint at "a possible rate cut in September"?
How will he comment on the upcoming data (CPI/employment/GDP)?
Will he retain flexibility in the policy path?

🎯 Brief prediction summary:
Item
Expected Conclusion

Will there be a rate cut?
❌ Very unlikely

Policy interest rate
✅ Maintain at 4.25%–4.50%
Dissenting members
Expected 1–2 people, in favor of a rate cut
Next decision window
🔜 September (if data supports)

📌 Trader's advice:
Today mainly focus on emotional fluctuations + guiding expectations for speculation;
BTC and ETH may experience "shoe-dropping volatility", it is recommended to maintain light positions and pay attention to Powell's speech direction. $BTC

$ETH

【A screenshot: Let me understand that it's not that I earn less, but that I lose more】
📸 Deposit screenshot: 1160U
🗣 A sentence that completely woke me up:

"I always thought it was because I wasn't working hard enough,
But later I realized —
It's because I was trading too frequently, and the platform deducted even more."

At first, I didn't believe it,
Until I saw this deposit reminder, I finally understood:
💸 Can the commission refund save you? No.

But it can help you see the truth:
Are you really not good at trading,
Or have you been 'working for others' all along?

With the same market feel and the same trading system,
Others: get deposit reminders every week, recovering hundreds or thousands
What about you: haven't even clicked the refund button

This isn't about whether you're making money or not,
This is about whether you are responsible for your hard trading.

Don't stay silent anymore
Fees, you won't know until you check, and then you'll be shocked.
The refund account, not opening it is a loss, paying 'unjust taxes' every day.
🧾 Today's deposit of 1160U is just the beginning.

📌 Forward to everyone:
Still working hard to make trades, but haven't even opened the refund account.
$BTC $ETH

So exaggerated!
Turning 1000U into 80,000, relying only on 3 strict rules + a set of 'rolling warehouse strategy'!

In February, a new follower asked me:

"Teacher, I only have 1000U, can I still turn things around?"

I only replied with one sentence:

"It's okay to have little capital, the key is not to lose your mind."

And what was the result?

👉 1000U → 83000U, in just 62 days

👉 Now a full-time trader, completely turned around!

Believe it or not, it's up to you, but I had already predicted this result——

Because he did two things:

✅ The first thing: strictly adhered to my 3 'turnaround rules'

1️⃣ Position not exceeding 20%, stop loss anytime if direction is wrong

→ It's not that you can't withstand the pullback, it's that you go all in right from the start.

2️⃣ Only trade structures you understand, better to miss out than make random guesses

→ With structure, there is rhythm; without structure, it's all gambling.

3️⃣ Don't be greedy with profits, don't bear with pullbacks, take breaks proactively

→ Continuous winning doesn't rely on rushing, but on knowing when to stop.

✅ The second thing: executed the 'steady as a dog' rolling warehouse strategy

This strategy, I personally guided him to operate:

📍 First Stage: Small position to practice rhythm

→ Use 1000U for small trades within the day, practice trading feel

📍 Second Stage: Gradually increase position steadily

→ After doubling profits, add to 2U position contracts each time

📍 Third Stage: Compound rolling warehouse, rhythmically rising

→ Starting from 20,000U, relying on structural bursts, profits grow exponentially

🧠 Throughout, no betting on direction, no betting on market trends, only betting on discipline + rhythm!
$BTC

$ETH

【Arrival Receipt｜Rebate Received on July 27✅】｜What you save is profit

💸 Pay the necessary fees, but don't waste a single cent that can be saved.

Today, another rebate has arrived. Although it's not much, every transaction is real cash back.

Don't underestimate the small rebates; over time, they accumulate into a stable return on your trading journey.

✅ After opening a rebate account, I receive funds every week

✅ Without changing my trading habits, I can still get more cash back than others

✅ Trading is a skill, rebates are common sense

🧾 A reminder:

Fees may be invisible, but they are continuously eating into profits.

Don't let the profits from your hard work be quietly taken away by the platform. $$BTC $ETH

【Why is BTC Starting to Fluctuate Again? | Market Observation and Trading Suggestions】

BTC has once again returned to a familiar fluctuation rhythm, and market sentiment is gradually becoming more rational.

This is quite normal—markets can never rise unilaterally for an extended period.
The consolidation after a rise is meant for a more powerful attack in the next round.

We can see a few points:
1. BTC cannot break through the previous high, making it difficult for altcoins to have significant movements.
Current mainstream cryptocurrencies are still looking to BTC for direction; before the fluctuation range is broken, do not blindly chase high prices.

2. The K-line from yesterday, along with the volume behind it, explains everything.
There is clearly protective capital involved, and it is highly likely that institutions are controlling the rhythm. We are currently in a sensitive phase as expectations for interest rate cuts in September are approaching, and Wall Street is unlikely to allow a deep decline in the market.

3. The market is like a spring; the longer it is pressed, the stronger the rebound.
At this moment, what matters is not "who moves fast," but "who can hold on." If you have the chips from yesterday's bottom fishing, it is better to hold them patiently rather than fidgeting around.

Current stage suggestions:
Do not act impulsively; wait for the market to choose a direction.
Select targets carefully and allocate in batches; do not be greedy.
Pay attention to changes in market sentiment; volume is a key indicator.
If the market suddenly starts to surge in volume, be brave enough to follow through without hesitation.
Opportunities are never about chasing after K-lines have moved; it's about quietly holding onto your chips and waiting for the right moment.
Do not let intraday fluctuations dictate your rhythm; true big movements are never loud.
$BTC

【Today's Major Events in the Crypto Market + Trading Suggestions】

I. Market Dynamics
BTC is consolidating today, with a clear wait-and-see sentiment from major funds. The Federal Reserve is about to announce the next phase of its interest rate policy, with the market generally expecting no change, but volatility may intensify around the data release.
ETH is performing relatively strongly due to the continuous expansion of the L2 ecosystem, with slightly increased attention from funds. Some funds have flowed into highly active altcoins, leading to increased short-term volatility.

II. Hot Event Tracking
1) Trump reiterates his support for Bitcoin, emphasizing the importance of decentralization. Coupled with previous statements on the “Bitcoin Bill,” the market is beginning to price in favorable policies following his potential election.
2) The SEC has upgraded its review of a certain stablecoin, reigniting discussions about compliance risks in the crypto market, which may temporarily affect liquidity in certain stablecoin trading pairs.
3) ARK has released its latest crypto asset holding report, increasing positions in BTC and SOL, while reducing holdings in some AI-related coins. Their movements are still viewed by institutions as one of the market indicators.

III. Practical Suggestions
1) With increasing uncertainty in the current market, it is advisable to control frequent trading and maintain a neutral position.
2) During periods of intensified short-term volatility, avoid chasing prices and instead prioritize portfolio adjustments and buying at lower levels.
3) For sectors that realize favorable outcomes, be cautious of major players raising prices to offload, and ensure to lock in profits in a timely manner.

IV. Strategies Suitable for Beginners

1) When uncertain, not trading is the best position management.
2) Observe the support situation of BTC at the 20-day moving average on the 4-hour chart as a reference signal.
3) Prioritize mainstream assets for selection to reduce volatility risk; avoid frequent heavy positions in altcoins for trial and error.

There are always people making money and losing money in the market; the difference often lies not in the market conditions but in the understanding of the situation and execution ability.
Stay calm, avoid chasing trends, and refrain from emotional trading, as these are core abilities to navigate through volatile periods.
$BTC

After exploring the cryptocurrency space for 10 years, with assets growing from zero to 11 million, I am increasingly convinced:

If this market cannot achieve a breakthrough in wealth, ordinary people will have even less opportunity for class transition.
Here are some experiences to share with those who are still exploring:

1. Coin Selection Principles
Only trade mainstream value coins, prioritize spot trading, and stay away from contracts. Short-term fluctuations can be ignored; the key is the logic and trend in the medium to long term. Manage positions dynamically and adjust them appropriately.

2. About Pullbacks and Panic
If there is a big drop but the 4-hour line has not effectively broken the 20-day moving average, there is no need to panic. Most of the time, it is one of the following three situations:
1) Contract liquidation wave—if you are not a professional player, try not to engage; the risk is far greater than spot trading.
2) Normal technical pullback—when deviating too far from the 5-day line, it often pulls back to the 5-10 day line to gather strength.
3) Main force washing the plate—quickly crashing prices to force retail investors to cut losses is a common operation.

3. Operating Strategy
1) For profitable positions in a wave, reduce positions in advance or sell in batches at high points to secure profits.
2) Use a batch ordering strategy for accumulation, focusing on observing near the daily 5-day line, 10-day line, and 30-day line.
3) Use the “lifeline” to judge trends; if it effectively breaks down and rebounds weakly, immediately reduce positions.

4. Responding to Different Market Conditions
Stay calm during a surge; during a crash, consider whether an opportunity is arising. Lay out positions at low points and accumulate in batches.
Lock in profits on profitable positions and set stop losses on bottom-fishing positions; do not become overly attached to the battle.

5. Advice for Beginners
Don’t rush, don’t be greedy. Start with small amounts to practice trading feelings, learn the rules, and cultivate mindset.
Most people's losses are not due to market conditions, but rather due to ignorance and emotions.
$BTC $ETH

Arrival Report | July 20th Batch Commission Completed]

First Batch Arrived: 13,529.125 USDT
Second Batch Arrived: 13,444.506 USDT
Total of 478 people received funds, totaling 26,973.63 USDT
We did our best, all sent out within two minutes.

User Feedback Excerpts:
"First time receiving commission, received 8.6 dollars, I didn't realize I had spent so much on fees?"
"Received 514 USDT in commissions in one day, I directly used it to replenish my SOL, thanks bro!"
"I thought placing orders didn’t cost me anything, only realized after the commission arrived: the deductions were real!"

Haven't you activated commissions yet?
How many USDT have you given to the platform over the years?
In a bull market, it's all about the trends; in a bear market, it's about who loses less.
Don't let fees become your 'invisible loss'.

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$BTC $ETH

Did you know?

On Binance, the transaction fees for different order types can actually differ by as much as double!

Market orders (taking orders) have the highest fees, while limit orders (placing orders) have much lower fees.

For example:

If you open a market order using 100x leverage with 100 USDT, the fees could exceed 10 USDT;

Switching to a limit order can save you nearly half of the fees!

Want to trade but don’t want to pay high fees?

Just select 'Limit' on the trading page and be a bit more patient than 'Market' to save a good amount of money.

Money-saving tips for beginners:

If you are a short-term high-frequency trader, you could save dozens of USDT in a single day!

Don’t forget to bookmark this content, so you won't be charged high fees on every trade in the future.$BTC $ETH