Global capital holds its breath, the tides of the crypto world are fluctuating with the Federal Reserve's helmsman at the fingertips
Tonight is destined to be recorded in the history of coins. As the clock in the East 8 zone slides to 2 AM on July 22, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold the monetary scepter. Historical data rings like a warning bell—this person’s single speech has caused Bitcoin to shake by 6%, and Ethereum to spike by a thousand points. But the real wise men have long heard the rhythm of raindrops in the thunder.
Policy game: Understanding the unspoken words of the Federal Reserve
April's declaration of "never involving in Bitcoin" still lingers, with a market value of $50 trillion evaporating by 5%. In an instant, the wind direction in May sharply turned, and the mantra of "banks can serve crypto clients" has propped up the $84,000 bottom suction. This is like the Tai Chi push hands: the expectation gap is the real killer move, and when the bad news is exhausted, there are often surprises.
In March, the "hint of interest rate cuts" poured down like a sweet rain, and institutional funds swallowed 130,000 bitcoins in a week. Conversely, when hawkish language suddenly appears, $3,700 becomes Ethereum's ghost gate. When water is released, the dragon soars; when water is withdrawn, the tiger lies low. This is the eternal iron law of the coin market.
Tonight's three crucial points fully analyzed
The rate maze reveals its true chapter
If the signal for interest rate cuts appears (probability 40%), BlackRock's $1.18 billion ammunition is already loaded, and MicroStrategy's $4.2 billion bottom-fishing fund is on high alert. At this time, if Bitcoin stabilizes at $110,000, it is the horn of charge; the $130,000 peak is not a dream.
If eagle cries again (probability 30%), the on-chain giant whale cost line at $107,320 is as solid as a rock. The chips held since March prove that this is a golden moat.
Bank compliance ice-breaking moment
In May, the aftermath of "banks can serve crypto clients" is still unsettled. If the green light shines again tonight, compliant warships like Coinbase will set sail first. The pre-market price movement of $COIN resembles a distant lighthouse.
Stablecoin life and death ledger
(Stablecoin bill) requires 100% reserve and real-time audits, scam coins tremble. Algorithmic stablecoins may bleed profusely, while compliant pioneers like USDC and DAI become safe havens.
Breaking the waves with three strategies: True chapters are seen in calm waters
Position strategy
Fifty percent base warehouse as the fixed sea god needle (Do not easily say to get off the car in the middle of a bull market)
Thirty percent elite troops staged layout (Set ambush area at $107,000-$110,000)
Twenty percent elite holding U waiting for orders (Only when everyone abandons their armor can the hero's courage be shown)
Leverage prohibition order
Clear leverage before the speech! Historical lessons are vivid: Last week's 740 million liquidation orders at the 120,000 high are still crying blood. When the spike liquidation volume exceeds 100 million dollars, the winning rate of reverse orders sharply increases.
Offensive and defensive layout
Institutional favorites: Bitcoin spot ETF (IBIT), Ethereum staking leader (LIDO)
Policy lightning rod: BTC mining companies (RIOT), compliant stablecoins (USDC)
High-risk minefield: Highly leveraged MEME coins, policy-sensitive platform tokens
At the forefront of the tide: Hidden keys under the dangerous wall
The Federal Reserve's speech is not a death knell, but a wealth reshuffle machine. When the market trembles in panic, please remember the threefold truth:
When bad news lands, it often accompanies long rainbows (30% increase after April's crash is evidence)
Institutional cost lines are the lifelines of retail investors (a certain giant's holding cost of $89,000 is like a mountain)
Only by resting easy can one guard the clouds and see the bright moon
History always repeats itself: When retail investors tremble at the K-lines, the wise have already seen the dawn in the on-chain data. Click here to follow, join the Noah's Ark in the raging waves—some opportunities, if missed, are forever gone.
#鲍威尔讲话
Focus on convergence, let us witness this moment together.