ETH/USDT Technical Analysis , Price Prediction and Trade Plan

$ETH

🗓️Date -July 15,2025

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📈 Key Observations:

1️⃣ Current Price: $2,949.28 (▼ -2.75% in 24h) – sharp correction from $3,083 high.

2️⃣ EMAs:

EMA(7): $2,903.36 (critical support)

EMA(25): $2,694.20

EMA(99): $2,474.09

👉 Price now testing EMA(7) after rejection at $3,083.

3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:

RSI(6): 70.01 (cooled from 84+ but still in bullish zone)

Stoch RSI: 90.94 (MA: 95.76) → overbought hangover persists.

4️⃣ 24h Range:

📌 High: $3,083.00

📌 Low: $2,932.46

5️⃣ Volume:

24h ETH: 824,685.07

📉 Current: 137,764 vs. MA(5): 513,275 → ↓73% → panic selling exhausting.

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💡 Interpretation:

📉 Bullish Trend Under Pressure:

Holding above EMA(7) ($2,903) keeps uptrend intact.

Rejection at $3,083 led to heavy profit-taking.

⚠️ Volume Divergence:

High 24h volume confirms distribution.

Current low volume signals selling exhaustion near support.

🎯 Critical Levels:

Support: $2,932 → $2,850 → $2,694 (EMA25)

Resistance: $3,000 → $3,083

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🔮 Price Prediction:

📅 Short-term (24h):

🚀 Bullish: Hold above $2,903 → bounce to $3,000–$3,050.

🔻 Bearish: Break below $2,932 → drop to $2,850–$2,750.

📅 Medium-term (1 week):

Recovery above $3,000 → target $3,200–$3,300.

Below EMA(25) ($2,694) → deeper correction to $2,500.

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📝 Trade Plan

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🚀 Scenario 1: Long at EMA(7) Support (Optimal)

🎯 Entry: $2,910–$2,930 (EMA7 + 24h Low zone).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $2,900.

🎯 Targets:

TP1: $2,980

TP2: $3,000

TP3: $3,050

📈 Risk-Reward: ~1:4

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🔻 Scenario 2: Short on Breakdown

🎯 Entry: $2,925–$2,905 (break below $2,932).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $2,950.

🎯 Targets:

TP1: $2,850

TP2: $2,780

TP3: $2,700 (EMA25)

📌 Trigger: 1H close < $2,932 with rising volume.

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💰 Scenario 3: Swing Long at Stronger Support

🎯 Entry: $2,700–$2,720 (EMA25 zone).

🛑 Stop-Loss: $2,680.

🎯 Targets: $2,900 → $3,000

📌 Confirmation: RSI(6) <40 = oversold.

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⚖️ Risk Management:

📉 Position Size: ≤1.5% of capital.

📉 Leverage: Max 3x → avoid liquidation.

📊 Key Signals:

✅ Go Long: Bullish reversal at EMA(7).

🔻 Go Short: Bearish close < $2,932 w/ >300K ETH volume.

🌎 Watch:

Ethereum ETF updates.

Gas fee & network activity.

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📝 Conclusion:

✨ ETH is testing critical EMA(7) support ($2,903) after a $134 drop.

🎯 Best setup: Longs near $2,910–2,930 for bounce if support holds.

🔻 If $2,932 breaks → switch to shorts targeting $2,850.

🚫 Avoid trades between $2,960–$3,000 (choppy).

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📊 Updated: 2025-07-12 — Reassess if price closes >$3,000 or <$2,900.

💪 Use stops & stay disciplined! 🚀

Trade from here 👉 $ETH

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