Assalam-o-Alaikum, crypto doston aur economic sochne walon! Aaj main aapko ek bohot bada topic discuss karna chahti hoon jo social media par aur uss se bhi zyada charcha mein hai: President Trump ka ye bold statement ke tariffs ne inflation par “zero” asar nahi kiya, aur unka Jerome Powell ko rate cut karne ka zor dar call. Yeh baat July 8, 2025 ko share hui, aur yeh ab ek storm sa ban gaya hai. Main aapko latest insights ke sath iska breakdown deti hoon. Chalo, facts, debate, aur yeh humare crypto aur global economy ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, sab explore karte hain!
The Claim: Tariffs aur “Zero” Inflation Impact
President Trump$TRUMP ka kehna hai ke January 2025 se lagaaye gaye tariffs ne inflation par koi asar nahi daala. Woh toh Powell ko “whining like a baby about non-existent inflation” tak keh rahe hain aur rate cut ki demand kar rahe hain. Yeh statement tab aur bhi bold lagta hai jab aaj, July 9, 2025 ko 90-day tariff pause khatam ho raha hai, jiss se naye trade policies shuru ho sakte hain.
Mujhe jo maloom hua, ek 2023 ke National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) study se thori support milti hai Trump ke point ko. Yeh study kehta hai ke tariffs ka U.S. inflation par direct asar limited hai, sirf 0.1% se 0.4% ka increase, kyunki businesses supply chains adjust kar lete hain. Yeh Trump ke argument ko thodi himmat de sakta hai—tariffs itna bada inflation ka darpoka nahi jitna log samajhte hain.
The Counterargument: Powell ki Hoshyari
Lekin Jerome Powell aur Federal Reserve is “zero impact” wali baat se mutabiq nahi hain. Recent data se, JPMorganChase Institute (2025) ke mutabiq, mid-sized U.S. businesses ko tariffs ki wajah se $82.3 billion extra costs face karna pad rahe hain. Yeh costs consumers tak ja sakte hain, jo indirectly prices ko upar le ja sakte hain—ek point jo Powell ne Fed statements mein stress kiya hai. May 2025 mein U.S. inflation rate 2.4% hai (Labor Department data), jo Fed ke 2% target se upar hai, jiss se Powell ko rates ko 4.4% par steady rakhne ka reason milta hai.
Powell ki chinta 2022 ke Fed ke success se bhi juri hai, jab unhone 9% se inflation ko 2.4% tak control kiya tha aggressive rate hikes se. Woh shayad tariff situation ka wait kar rahe hain, khas tor par aaj 90-day pause khatam hone ke baad. Ek report (July 5, 2025) ke mutabiq, experts jaise Goldman Sachs ke John Waldron ko yeh lagta hai ke agar tariffs badhe toh is summer mein zyada inflation aa sakti hai.
The Economic Ripples Effects
Yeh clash sirf political drama nahi hai—yeh markets ko hila raha hai. U.S. dollar March 2025 se 5% weak ho chuka hai (ek report ke mutabiq), partly tariff uncertainties aur Trump ke Fed pressure ki wajah se. Hum crypto walon ke liye yeh ek game-changer ho sakta hai. Weak dollar aksar Bitcoin aur altcoins ko boost karta hai jab investors hedges dhundte hain, aur Trump ka pro-crypto stance isme aur mazbooti deta hai.
Lekin Powell ka rate cut na karna yeh bullish scenario ko delay kar sakta hai. Agar Fed zyada wait karega aur recession aa gaya (jaise ek warning mein kaha gaya, July 7, 2025), toh emergency cuts aane par majboor ho sakte hain. Trump apni marzi manwa sakte hain, lekin timing thodi messy ho sakti hai.
Mera Nazariya: Balance se Kaam Lena
Jaisa ke main Binance Square par yeh track kar rahai hoon, mujhe dono sides samajh aati hain. Trump ka tariff push shayad directly inflation nahi badhata, lekin indirect costs ko nazar andaaz karna mushkil hai. Powell ka “wait-and-see” approach data ke hisab se theek hai, lekin agar tariffs ne heat badhaya toh unki zid growth ko rok sakti hai. Crypto holders ke liye yeh ek watch-and-trade moment hai—dollar trends aur Fed announcements par nazar rakho.
Aap kya sochte hain? Kya Powell ko ab rate cut kar dena chahiye, ya Trump tariff impact ko oversimplify kar rahe hain? Apne views niche comment mein daalein, aur chalo discuss karte hain ke yeh humare crypto portfolios ko kaise shape kar sakta hai. Informed rahein, aagey rahein—happy trading!
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