FedRateDecisions

The Last Month of the Year, Last Half of the Last Month

This week has been relatively stagnant with the price generally moving up and down. We've entered the most critical week of the month for the market. With the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank interest rate decisions, this week is particularly crucial. While a 25 basis point reduction is expected with 99% probability, inflationary statements might cause market pullbacks.

Bitcoin
Crypto and BTC started the week with a decline, then moved towards its weekly opening, and we saw a pump before closing. It could be a classic move for the price to rise until the FED announcement and then fall afterward with the statements. Generally, the market tends to move in one direction until the news and then reverse afterward. Therefore, it's important to be cautious. It seems more logical to make purchases with gradual pullbacks until Trump becomes president and then let it run its course.

As I mentioned last week, opening the year too high might bring a sharp decline at the beginning of the new year. Or we might expect contrary movements like a sharp upward movement in the new year if it falls too much. This week's implied volatility range is 88.5k - 120.5k.

Ethereum

ETH, which opened November at 2500 and December at 3700, is testing the 4000 resistance. After a sharp sell-off at the beginning of the week, it's slowly climbing up but still hasn't met expectations due to its weakness against BTC. I think the price will move more sharply with sustainability above 4100, but I believe it should proceed with confirmation. One shouldn't move too confidently before 4-hour and daily closings.

This week's Put/Call Ratio is 0.51, and the max pain price appears to be 3700. Implied volatility can be expected similar to last week at 3200-4700.

ETHBTC

Although weakness continues, as I mentioned last week, it looks positive as long as it stays above 0.0348. I think the main movement will progress when it stays above the purple box of 0.042.

#December2024 #BTCNewATH #ETHHits4KAgain #BitcoinKeyZone #FedRateDecisions

The Federal Reserve System of the United States, following the meeting on January 29, 2025, kept the key interest rate unchanged.
✔️ As I expected, the Fed decided to maintain the key interest rate in the range of 4.25–4.5%.
🔈 Key takeaways from the Fed:
Economy: The GDP of the United States in 2024 is likely to exceed 2%, the economy remains strong.

🔥 Market Shock: Fed Holds Rates Steady – What’s Next?⚠️ Fed Freezes Rates,
Fed Stays Cautious While Inflation Rises! 🚨 Fed’s Big Decision: No Cuts, But Trouble Ahead?
Before I begin...🔥I'll likely make👉 my content private soon, and my content will show only to my followers. so make sure to follow me here , so u won't miss this and my future content.
—The Federal Reserve just announced that it will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5% 📉, meaning borrowing costs remain the same... for now. But here’s the twist – they raised their inflation outlook while lowering growth expectations for 2025. 🤯
—This signals that the economy isn’t as strong as some hoped, and inflation is still a bigger problem than expected. The Fed is now playing it safe, watching the situation closely before making any big moves. Will they cut rates later this year, or is more pain ahead? ⚠️
—For traders, this means uncertainty is the name of the game. Stocks, crypto, and forex markets could see wild swings as investors try to predict what’s next. Are we heading for a recession, or will the Fed pull off a soft landing? 🚀📉
—Why Follow My Analysis?💥👇👇 ✅ I’ll be sharing VIP signals for free, Crypto News, Latest Insights, and along with chart breakdowns and updates to help you stay ahead of market moves. Don’t miss out on these expert insights designed to give you an edge.
#FedWatch #FedRateDecisions #fomcmeeting #FedNoRateCut #FedMeeting
What’s your move in this market? Bullish or bearish? Let’s discuss in the comments! ⬇️🔥$BTC $ETH

The S&P 500 witnessed its sharpest single-day decline since early 2020 following Powell’s remarks, erasing a staggering $1.8 trillion in market capitalization. This market shock comes as a harsh blow to hopes of a year-end rally, with investors digesting the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. While the traditional markets are reeling, the cryptocurrency sector has shown surprising resilience under the current conditions, maintaining relatively stable levels despite widespread sell-offs.

With expectations of a “Santa Claus” rally effectively dashed, market sentiment remains fragile. Investors now eagerly await further developments, as Powell’s tone has fueled fears of prolonged economic pressure. Interestingly, political voices could enter the discussion soon, with speculations that figures like Trump may step in to challenge Powell’s approach to monetary policy. Traders should brace for heightened volatility across all asset classes as market uncertainty continues to dominate the headlines.

#donaldtrump #Powell #FedRateCut #FedRateDecisions

The FED will announce its final interest rate decision at 22:00 today, and Chairman Jerome Powell will give a speech shortly after the decision.
As markets eagerly await the outcome, experts including Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, predict Powell will advocate a more cautious approach to future interest rate adjustments.
Bond traders tracked by the CME are largely expecting a rate cut, and Zandi acknowledged that such a move is possible. But he expects Powell’s tone at the press conference to reflect a change in strategy. “I think Powell will argue that the Fed should go much slower in cutting rates going forward, and even lay the groundwork for a potential pause,” Zandi said.
This caution stems from ongoing uncertainties, including fiscal policy, tariffs and economic policy changes under the current administration. The Fed may need more clarity on these factors before deciding on further rate cuts, Zandi said.
According to a CNBC poll, nearly 90% of market participants polled expect the Fed to cut rates, while only 60% believe it should. Some policymakers within the Fed have also expressed reservations about further rate cuts. Kansas City Fed President Esther George and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren have both voiced opposition to further easing, while Powell himself has previously signaled caution.
#FedRateDecisions
#PowellSpeech