From Frequent Losses to Stable Profits: My Three-Cycle Trading Method

When I first entered the market, I only focused on 15-minute charts:

Seeing a surge and chasing → 5 minutes later, a reversal → Account shrinks by 60%

Later I understood that trading is not about betting on short-term fluctuations, but requires multi-cycle verification.

Why do losses occur when only looking at one cycle?

Small Cycle Scam: A 'breakthrough' on the 15-minute chart may be a rebound or fluctuation in a larger cycle

Lack of Trend Judgment: Trading against the trend naturally lowers the win rate

Emotional Trading: Frequent entries and exits, repeatedly harvested by the market

My Three-Cycle Trading System

1. 4-Hour Chart — Determine the Trend

Uptrend: Higher highs and lows, only go long

Downtrend: Lower highs and lows, only go short

Consolidation: Wait and watch, do not force trades

→ First see the direction to avoid trading against the trend

2. 1-Hour Chart — Find Key Levels

Previous highs/lows, support and resistance, dense moving averages

Mark positions where the market has previously reversed, wait for price to approach

→ Plan the battlefield in advance, no last-minute decisions

3. 15-Minute Chart — Wait for Signals

Candlestick Patterns (Engulfing, Pinbar, Doji)

Indicator Coordination (MACD Divergence, RSI Overbought/Oversold)

Volume Confirmation (Volume spikes on breakthroughs)

→ Only act when conditions are met, otherwise wait and see

Pitfalls I Fell Into vs. Current Improvements

❌ Old Model: Impulsive trading, no plan, blaming luck

✅ New Model: Trend → Position → Signal, three layers of filtering, reducing ineffective trades

Key Summary

Trading is not about predicting, but about following the market rhythm

Multi-Cycle Analysis = Increased Win Rate + Reduced Emotional Interference

Making fewer mistakes is more important than making more money

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