This 'coin trading method' is essentially a high-risk strategy disguised as 'cyclical thinking'. 1. Ignoring the inherent risks of the cryptocurrency market
• The cryptocurrency market (especially contracts) is fundamentally a zero-sum game. With high leverage (such as 1000 times), even small price fluctuations can lead to liquidation, and 'risk control' may fail in extreme market conditions (such as flash crashes or system outages).
• The premise of 'making 100 times profit with 10 times/5 times leverage' in the text is based on 'being correct every time', but the market is unpredictable in the short term, and historical volatility data (such as Bitcoin's different price point fluctuations) cannot predict future trends.
2. The fatal contradiction of 'cyclical strategies'
• Position management paradox: 'buy more when it drops' requires unlimited capital support. If you start with 3000 yuan and keep averaging down during a continuous decline, you will quickly face liquidation due to insufficient margin (example: with 10 times leverage, a 10% price drop would wipe out the principal).
• Vague profit-taking and stop-loss: Judging solely based on 'small cycle bottoms/target prices' lacks quantitative risk control (such as position ratio and maximum drawdown tolerance), and is essentially subjective speculation rather than a strategy.
3. Anti-intellectual logic: denying compound interest and believing in 'violent doubling'
• There is nothing wrong with compound interest, but its premise is 'low risk, sustainable profit'. In the highly volatile contract market, the foundation of stability for a compound interest model does not exist.
• The logic of 'making money from fools through cycles' in the text implies an arrogance of 'being smarter than the market' — retail investors are inherently disadvantaged in information, capital, and tools, and blindly magnifying cycles may cause them to miss stop-loss opportunities.
Final reminder
Any method that claims to 'guarantee 100 times profit' in trading cryptocurrencies is essentially exploiting anxiety with 'anti-common sense theories'. 99% of people in the cryptocurrency market ultimately incur losses, primarily because they challenge probabilities with a gambling mindset and fantasize about short-term speculation to transcend social classes.
With a capital of 3000 yuan, what one should actually do is learn basic financial management (such as regular investment in index funds) and improve personal skills — true 'transcendence' never occurs in high-risk gambling scenarios but in solid cognitive accumulation.
Staying away from leverage and respecting the market is the greatest clarity for ordinary people.
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