The market is born in despair, rises in hesitation, and dies in madness—today, this pesky BTC has turned both bulls and bears into panda eyes!

I. Current market: Bulls and bears are engaged in a "tug of war."

BTC is currently stuck around 109000 as a "nail household," like a sandwich caught between the upper BOLL channel at 109969 and the lower at 108527. This morning, Coinbase suddenly broke the news that "the U.S. SEC may delay the ETH ETF decision," directly pulling BTC down from the 110000 threshold, but when it hit 108750, it was supported by a mysterious large order—did you see that abrupt volume spike? This is a typical "dog fund protecting the market" tactic!

The MACD indicator is currently playing a "wanting to refuse yet welcoming" act:

The yellow and white lines (DIF 457/DEA 507) are swaying downwards like two drunk men leaning on each other, but they just won't break the zero axis.

The green bars are shorter but haven't turned red, indicating that the bulls haven't surrendered yet.
(Comparative case) This trend reminds me of the washout on June 27, also a violent rebound after a fake MACD drop; now it's about whether the 38.2% golden level (105618) can hold as a "bull-bear dividing line."

II. News front "three fires"

Good news: Grayscale GBTC has seen net inflows for 3 consecutive days (last night +1200 BTC), and those old Wall Street money bags are still quietly accumulating.

Change signal: USDT premium suddenly shrank to -0.3%, indicating that Asian retail investors are withdrawing and observing.

III. Did you notice the deadly details?

Pay attention to that "huge trading volume + long lower shadow" combination! It's like the dealer suddenly revealing their cards in a casino:

If this is "real accumulation," it must stand firm at 109500 for the next three days.

If another bearish candlestick appears tomorrow, it will definitely be a "fishing line" trap.

Let me tell you secretly: CoinGecko data shows that in the past 24 hours, the liquidation volume of contracts is dominated by short positions at 73%—when most people are betting in the same direction... you know what I mean!


"This market is like dancing in a minefield; some hear the music and get carried away, while others are afraid of stepping on a landmine and dare not move—tonight at 20:30, U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released. Will it be the 'shoe dropping' or the 'black swan taking off'? Pay attention to @Great Sage Talks Coins; in tonight's live stream, I'll teach you the 'lightning rod strategy' step by step!"$BTC #美国加征关税



Remember! The market is not wrong; we are! I am the Great Sage, a top-tier layout team, only serving ambitious orders with a crazy mindset!