大圣说币

Institutions have 167 billion US dollars loaded; how far this bull market goes depends entirely on their expressions! These Wall Street wolves have truly entered with real money! Last month, crypto funds reached a historical high of 167 billion US dollars, equivalent to the entire GDP of Cambodia piled into the crypto world. But don't rush to shout 'bull market'—let Old Crow break it down:

Good news: Institutions carry the flag, retail investors benefit.
Clear protection: BlackRock and Fidelity have hoarded 63 billion in Bitcoin ETFs (accounting for 40%), buying every day, transforming Bitcoin from a 'CX toy' to a serious asset!

‘Volatility drops below 40, and the market is as still as dead water? Don't rush, the calmer it is before the storm, the more deadly the explosion!’

Dasheng's interpretation:
Dasheng sees the recent market as really 'summer fatigue' meeting 'Buddha-like indifference', the entire crypto space seems to be drained! BTC's short-term implied volatility (IV) has dropped below 40%. What does this mean? Simply put, the seasoned players in the options market generally feel that Bitcoin won't bounce much in the coming period. Big rises and falls? Unlikely!
Why so 'bleak'?
The seasonal curse has returned: Every summer (June to August), the big institutions and fund managers in Europe and America love to gather for vacations! When the main funds withdraw, market liquidity deflates like a punctured ball, and trading volume visibly drops. Big institutions are on vacation, and retail investors are left to perform a solo act? How boring!

"The cryptocurrency market is ever-changing, but candlestick patterns don't lie—understanding the charts is the key to turning the 'dog owner's' tactics into your ATM!"

Why did ETH surge and then retreat last night? Da Sheng will break it down for you! ​​
Brothers, last night ETH surged to 2536 and then suddenly dumped. Did another batch of people get caught at the peak? Don't worry, let's solve this mystery with this candlestick chart!
1. The key resistance level is revealed.
The upper Bollinger Band at 2543 is like an iron roof; it gets smashed down every time it touches. Last night it approached 2536, which is close to the resistance area, and the 'dog owner' directly closed the door.
The MACD indicator's green bar (-8.52) shows that the bears are still in control. Both the DIF and DEA lines are underwater; in this situation, a price rally is a trap for buyers!

“The K-line of the cryptocurrency market is like the weather forecast - it is uncertain whether it will be sunny or cloudy, but if you learn how to read the clouds and know the wind direction, you can prepare an umbrella in advance!”

​Decoding the trend of DEGO/USDT in plain language:
Current Status
The price is now stuck around 1.0323 USDT, as if the pause button has been pressed. The fluctuations in recent days have not exceeded 1%, a typical "Buddha-style shock".
The Bollinger Bands (BOLL) are particularly narrow, which means that the market is preparing for a big move and may change at any time.
​Key Signals​ (Technical Indicators Classroom)​MACD​: The DIF and DEA lines are almost sticking together (values ​​0.0046 vs 0.0044), like two people who are tired after fighting and shake hands to make peace - the long and short positions are temporarily tied.

'The 100,000 dollar defense line for Bitcoin is the watershed for bulls and bears; if it holds, 140,000 is within reach; if it doesn't? Prepare to bear the scythe!'

Great Sage's analysis:
1. Current Situation: Bitcoin is playing 'walking on a tightrope'
Key support: 104,000-105,000 dollars; if this level breaks, it will slide straight down to 100,000 dollars.
Breakout signal: If it surges to 107,500 dollars and breaks through 113,000 with volume, then a summer surge to 140,000 is really possible!
For example: The 4-hour chart is forming a double bottom rebound, resembling the pattern before the explosive rise in March; if the 1-hour chart's 'bullish flag' breaks, it could surge to 108,000 within 48 hours (fuel zone for shorts).

“Low volatility is not calm seas; it's a storm brewing! The BTC fear index has fallen below 40%, and the market is lying flat? Be careful not to fall into a pit!”

Plain language interpretation:
What does it mean for the 'fear index' (IV) to fall below 40%?
Simply put, it means the market participants believe that in the coming period, the price of Bitcoin

won't bounce back
. Everyone expects it to be like lukewarm water, with no excitement in terms of rising or falling. For BTC, 40% is already the 'flat line'.
Why is this happening?
Period of big event vacuum: Recently, there hasn't been any news that could shake the market (like sudden interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve or the SEC approving ETFs), and everyone is directionless.

​“In the crypto world, candlesticks can speak; the key is whether you know how to listen!”

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​1. Why did FUN coin suddenly take off?
​Shorts are being “beaten up”​: funding rate -0.33%, indicating that those shorting have to pay the bulls “protection fees” daily, forcing the shorts to close positions (buy back FUN), pushing the price directly up!
The main force is doing something: the market hasn’t seen significant volume (trading volume hasn’t obviously increased), but the price keeps rising, it’s likely that large players are transferring positions to create a false breakout to attract retail investors to follow.
For example: last month PEPE coin was played like this, first violently pumped up 20%, waiting for retail investors to rush in, then flipped and crashed to cut the leeks.

ETH Today's Market: Consolidation or the eve of a reversal? The Great Sage will help you analyze the long and short battles.
"There is no easy profit in the crypto world, only rhythms to understand—ETH's current situation of 'boiling frogs in warm water' will either yield big profits or burn off some skin."

1. Technical Analysis: Bollinger Bands tightening + MACD convergence, what is the market waiting for?
From the 1-hour chart, the ETH/USDT price is being firmly pressed by the Bollinger middle band (2638), with the upper band at 2757 acting like a ceiling and the lower band at 2518 acting like a floor, resembling a 'sandwich'. The MACD's DIF and DEA lines are almost stuck together, with the bars shrinking into a thin thread—typical 'no one is playing' consolidation market.

Musk's $9.3 billion raised isn't just money; it's a spring tonic for the crypto circle! Whether it's AI or XAI, once the Doge King appears, the counterfeits will shake!

The Great Sage's breakdown:
Does it have anything to do with our crypto circle?
Not at all! Old Ma's money is for raising his AI son (xAI), buying chips, building data centers, and developing large models; it has nothing to do with blockchain.

BUT!
Is the crypto circle about speculating on expectations? It's about those three words: Musk!Who is the most hyped? Dogecoin (DOGE) is firmly in the center!Why? Old Ma is the Doge King! When he says something, Doge can soar to the heavens! Tesla has accepted DOGE, and Twitter (X) has mentioned integrating payments repeatedly; DOGE is the number one seed!

FUN Today's Market: Intense battle between bulls and bears, key level decides the outcome!—Dasheng Talks Coins 2024.6.21
"One day in the crypto world is like one year in reality! This wave of FUN's market is like a roller coaster, with fierce battles between bulls and bears around 0.0040, and the outcome is about to be revealed!"

I. Market Overview: 1-hour K-line hides secrets
Latest 1-hour K-line shows:
Current Price: 0.00408 (-2.3%), short-term pressure but not broken
Key Level:
Resistance Level: 0.00425 (tested multiple times without breaking)
Dividing Line: 0.00415 (must break through to turn bullish)
Support Level: 0.00400 (life and death line, breaking could accelerate downward movement)

"If institutional accounts can be hacked, can you sleep peacefully with the air coins in your wallet?" - Dashing slams the table.
Dear friends, I am your hardcore and grumpy analyst, Dashing. This morning, the official X account of a16z was hacked, and fake coin news was released. On the surface, it seems like hackers are at work, but essentially, they stripped the institutional security pants! Below, I will break down the impact in a way that retail investors can understand, and throw in some personal opinions.

1. The most miserable are the retail investors: Trading coins based on news is just giving away your head.
Example to slap the face: In February this year, the account of a16z's founder was hacked and a fake coin ELIZA was promoted. A bunch of people rushed in with their eyes closed, resulting in a 15% drop within 15 minutes! The market maker drove off in a Porsche overnight, and you were left with just your underwear. This time, the hacker used the same trick, just changing the soup but not the medicine.

Today's market for RAY: A tug-of-war between bulls and bears, is it a buildup for a breakout or a trap for the unsuspecting?
"There is no forever unidirectional market in the crypto space, only eternal games - today's movement of RAY is a blatant psychological battle between bulls and bears!"

Market snapshot: The sharp rise and fall in candlesticks.
From the 1-hour chart, RAY is currently like a 'spring' being repeatedly pressed in the 2.0-2.28 range:
Resistance level 2.286: Today, there have been three attempts to break higher, but all were rejected, like hitting a ceiling.
Support level 1.94-2.13: When it suddenly dropped to 2.0 last night, it instantly rebounded 5%, indicating that there is capital supporting the market, but today the volume has shrunk, and the supporting bullets may not be many.

"The cryptocurrency market is ever-changing, but there is one path that is becoming wider -- compliant stablecoins are becoming the 'hard currency' of the digital world!"

Dasheng's Interpretation:
Recently, the well-known financial institution Canaccord stated: "Compliant stablecoins will become the core layer of internet currency." What does this mean? In simple terms, stablecoins like USDT and USDC, which have backing, may become the 'universal currency' of the entire cryptocurrency market in the future, even penetrating into various fields such as internet payments, cross-border transfers, and DeFi.
Why compliant stablecoins?

"Spokane's blanket ban on ATMs isn't sentencing Bitcoin to death, it's cutting the power to pig slaughtering scams! The chives should applaud, and the scammers should tremble!"

Great Sage dissects:
Impact? Just a drizzle!
There are only over 30,000 Bitcoin ATMs globally, and the daily transaction volume is less than Binance's in one minute. Spokane has shut down dozens of local machines, it's like scooping a cup of water from the Yangtze River—prices will rise and fall as they should,
Bitcoin can't even be bothered to lift its eyelids.
.
Why specifically target ATMs? The bloody examples are here!
Recently exposed scams in America,
8 out of 10 used ATMs to launder money

! Why?
Scammers deceive the elderly: "The police are going to arrest you! Quickly buy Bitcoin and transfer it to a 'safe account'!"

ETH Today's Battle Report: 2520 is the Lifeline! The Battle of Bulls and Bears is Tonight — Exclusive Interpretation by Coin Circle Master
"A big bullish candle, thousands of troops come to meet; a big bearish candle, even gods change their faces!" Today ETH jumped around the $2520 'ghost gate', resembling a man caught between his mother-in-law and wife — afraid to be trapped if it breaks upwards, unwilling to give up if it breaks down.

1. Key Signals on the Market (Let You Understand the Insights)
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2520 USD has become 'Tang Seng meat'​
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From the screenshot details, you can see that the price of 2520.84 has been marked 7 times! The main force piled up over 3000 ETH buy orders at this position, but every time it reaches 2521, they hesitate, just like a student scoring 59 in an exam — one point away from failing.

"If the Fed cuts rates once less, the crypto market may shed a layer of skin! This is not a scare tactic; the dollar scythe is about to swing again!"

Big Saint analyzes: What impact does the Fed cutting rates just once have on the crypto market?
The dollar is getting more expensive, hot money is retreating (this is critical!).
Now the market is looking forward to two rate cuts in 2025 (for example, many institutions are betting this way after the June CPI data).
If the Fed suddenly says, "We will only cut once," it would be like pouring cold water on the market!
Consequences: The dollar will be worth more (dollar index rises), and global hot money will flee from high-risk, high-return assets like Bitcoin, returning to the US for interest!

'The Federal Reserve opens the tap, and the crypto world directly parties; if they suddenly turn off the tap, the whole scene will instantly become an ICU—it's all about the heartbeat, betting on the expectation difference!'
Plain talk to break down tonight's FOMC:
Brothers, tonight at 2 AM (Beijing time), this group of big shots at the Federal Reserve will decide on the interest rate. Whether it's a rate cut, a hike, or no action, the crypto world will definitely put on a show of 'Speed and Passion'. Why? Because where the global hot money flows depends entirely on the Federal Reserve's mood! We traders are essentially betting on whether they will provide liquidity!

For specific buy and sell points and positions, follow the Great Sage's homepage, in the profile.

DEGO today's market analysis: a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, key points determine victory or defeat
"Bollinger Bands are closing, a change in trend is imminent! DEGO is repeatedly testing the lifeline at 1.0447, tonight's Fed decision may become a catalyst for the market!"

1. Market Overview
According to the latest chart data
Latest price: 1.0447
Key indicators:
Bollinger Band middle track 1.0623
Upper track 1.1457
Lower track 0.9789
Volume: 187.8K trading volume, down 30% from the previous day, with strong market wait-and-see sentiment
Key correction point:
① The previous text "1.0603 opening price" should refer to June 14 data, currently running at 1.0447

PEPE Today's Battle Situation: 1-Minute Level Precision Sniping, Should the Frog Jump or Lie Down? — The Great Sage Takes You to Analyze Market Language
"Trading PEPE with 1-Minute K Lines is like Watching a Frog's ECG — Every Jump is a Life-and-Death Moment!"

Specific Buying and Selling Points and Positions, Follow The Great Sage's Homepage, in the Profile Section

[1-Minute Level Market Fine-Tuning Version]
1. The Watershed of Long and Short Battle
Current Price: 0.041011 USDT
High Pressure Zone: 0.04115 Becomes Today's "Ghost Gate", Tested Three Times in the Morning Session Without Breaking
Life and Death Line: Support at 0.0408, Falling Below Triggers Margin Liquidation Zone
2. Volume Code

[Dasheng's Bold Commentary] Today's script for BNB: Bulls and bears are wrestling at $648, which side should retail investors take? (Includes practical combat skills)
"The longer it consolidates, the more explosive the breakout!" - BNB is currently stuck between $647-$648 playing psychological games, with Bollinger Bands tightening to the extreme, a market change is imminent!

For specific entry and exit points and positions, follow the main page of Dasheng, in the introduction.
Technical Analysis: Bollinger Bands are tightening, a decisive battle at $648.
1 Current Position: $647.7, Middle Band of Bollinger Bands at $645.95 (support), Upper Band at $649.6 (resistance).
2 Key Levels to Monitor:
Bullish Defense Line: $645 (if it breaks, watch $640)