BTC Today's Market Analysis

The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the critical line of 105,027-110,820, with 109,000 becoming a meat grinder!

Ironclad Evidence

The current price is firmly pinned at $109,288.73. The precise value of the Bollinger Bands (20.2): Upper band 110,820.96 ➠ Lower band 105,027.93. The channel width is 5.5%, and it must break the deadlock before the non-farm payroll!

My Live Trading Secret

Strategy synchronization with the MACD in the chart (12.60/12.61):

Break above 109,500 for long positions, stop loss at 108,800, ambush short positions at 107,900.

Three Solid Grounds:

Historical Repetition: After a 5.2% fluctuation in March, it surged by 42%; this time, 5.5% is even more dangerous.

Main Force Deception: OKX long-short ratio at 0.92 hides a -0.008% funding rate.

Divergence Signal: RSI (53.8) triple bottom divergence, MACD returning to zero → similar to the take-off pattern from June.

Three Lifesaving Moves

Mnemonic: If it breaks 110,821, chase the longs; if it breaks 107,925, cut positions; recite the mantra in between!

Suicide Squad:

Break through 109,288 and cautiously test the waters; if it drops sharply to 107,000, catch on the way down.

Old Hunter:

Use 110,000−CALL options as protection.

Ultimate Puzzle

BlackRock ETF approval is imminent:

$106,000 buried with 12,000 BTC call options.

Is it an institutional trump card or a “long kill long” trap?

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