BTC Today's Market Analysis
The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to the critical line of 105,027-110,820, with 109,000 becoming a meat grinder!
Ironclad Evidence
The current price is firmly pinned at $109,288.73. The precise value of the Bollinger Bands (20.2): Upper band 110,820.96 ➠ Lower band 105,027.93. The channel width is 5.5%, and it must break the deadlock before the non-farm payroll!
My Live Trading Secret
Strategy synchronization with the MACD in the chart (12.60/12.61):
Break above 109,500 for long positions, stop loss at 108,800, ambush short positions at 107,900.
Three Solid Grounds:
Historical Repetition: After a 5.2% fluctuation in March, it surged by 42%; this time, 5.5% is even more dangerous.
Main Force Deception: OKX long-short ratio at 0.92 hides a -0.008% funding rate.
Divergence Signal: RSI (53.8) triple bottom divergence, MACD returning to zero → similar to the take-off pattern from June.
Three Lifesaving Moves
Mnemonic: If it breaks 110,821, chase the longs; if it breaks 107,925, cut positions; recite the mantra in between!
Suicide Squad:
Break through 109,288 and cautiously test the waters; if it drops sharply to 107,000, catch on the way down.
Old Hunter:
Use 110,000−CALL options as protection.
Ultimate Puzzle
BlackRock ETF approval is imminent:
$106,000 buried with 12,000 BTC call options.
Is it an institutional trump card or a “long kill long” trap?
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