Bitcoin $BTC continues to make lower lows and is currently hovering around the $101,000 mark. Here’s a concise breakdown of possible scenarios and key factors to watch in the coming days.
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🔎 Key Scenarios to Watch:
1. Sideways Range if 100K Holds:
If BTC sustains above $100,000 in the next 24 candles, we may see a potential rebound. In this case, BTC is likely to continue its rangebound movement between $100K and $112K.
2. Geopolitical Relief Rally:
If tensions between Israel and Iran de-escalate, it could boost market confidence, potentially leading to a recovery from current levels.
3. Breakdown Risk on Continued Conflict:
If U.S. military action against Iran escalates, BTC could break down further. In that scenario, the next key support lies between $91,500 and $93,300.
4. Oil Supply Disruptions:
A significant oil supply blockage can lead to broader market stress, possibly dragging BTC toward the above-mentioned lower support zones.
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📌 What Traders & Investors Should Focus On:
Middle East geopolitical developments (Iran–Israel conflict)
Oil price volatility and potential supply shocks
These are the two primary catalysts that could drive Bitcoin's next move.
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🧠 Strategy Overview:
🔹 For Long-Term Investors:
Consider investing 20% of your planned capital at current levels.
If $BTC drops to the $91.5K–$93.3K support zone, consider deploying the next 30%.
🔹 For Short-Term Traders:
Aggressive entries can be considered above 100K, but only if price holds for the next 24 hours.
Place a strict stop-loss at $97K to manage risk.
🔹 For Beginners:
Stay in observation mode for now. Watch how the market reacts to key events before entering any trades.
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✅ Conclusion:
This is a highly sensitive and macro-driven market phase. Smart positioning, strict risk management, and awareness of global events are essential.
Trade wisely. Stay informed.
