#BTC /USDT
DETAILED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🧭 Key Technical Levels
Resistance
**$105,500–$106,000** – Overhead resistance near the 50 EMA and recent high
**$108,000–$109,000** – Broader resistance band from prior peaks
Support
**$103,400–$103,800** – Current support zone; recent dip low
**$101,000–$102,000** – Stronger structural support aligned with 50-day EMA
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📊 Indicators & Patterns
RSI (1H): ~50–55 — Neutral, slight bullish edge
MACD: Flat-to-slightly bullish; signals possible trend shift
Volume: Volume dip indicates consolidation; look for increases to confirm moves
Chart Pattern: Price trapped in symmetrical triangle – expects breakout soon
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⏩ Trade Scenarios
1. Breakout Long
Entry: On 1-hour close above $105,500–$106,000 with volume
Targets:
TP1: $108,000
TP2: $110,000
Stop-Loss: Below $104,000 (recent support)
Risk–Reward: ~1:2+
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2. Pullback Long
Entry: On retracement to $103,400–$103,800 with bullish reversal candle
Targets:
TP1: $105,500
TP2: $108,000
Stop-Loss: Below $102,800
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
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3. Breakdown Short
Entry: On 1H close below $103,400 and high volume
Targets:
TP1: $101,000
TP2: $98,500–$99,000
Stop-Loss: Above $104,000
Risk–Reward: ~1:2
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⚠️ Trade Management Tips
Wait for volume confirmation before acting—low volume breakouts may fake out.
Monitor macro news (e.g., Middle East conflict, Fed comments, CPI releases) for volatility spikes
Consider ET flows and market sentiment—structural support at $103K held during bearish pressure
Use proper position sizing (1–2% risk) and trail stop-losses as price moves favorably.
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📝 Summary
Bullish bias: Long above $105.5K–$106K
Conservative entry: Buy dips around $103.4K–$103.8K
Cautionary short: If breakdown below $103.4K
Don’t forget stop-loss discipline and volume validation.
