'The 100,000 dollar defense line for Bitcoin is the watershed for bulls and bears; if it holds, 140,000 is within reach; if it doesn't? Prepare to bear the scythe!'
Great Sage's analysis:
1. Current Situation: Bitcoin is playing 'walking on a tightrope'
Key support: 104,000-105,000 dollars; if this level breaks, it will slide straight down to 100,000 dollars.
Breakout signal: If it surges to 107,500 dollars and breaks through 113,000 with volume, then a summer surge to 140,000 is really possible!
For example: The 4-hour chart is forming a double bottom rebound, resembling the pattern before the explosive rise in March; if the 1-hour chart's 'bullish flag' breaks, it could surge to 108,000 within 48 hours (fuel zone for shorts).
2. Why dare to say 140,000? Three major hard-core driving forces
Institutions are crazily bottom-fishing:
BlackRock/Fidelity and other giants: ETF daily net inflows over 200 million dollars, total holdings of 125.8 billion dollars!
Publicly listed companies are collectively 'stockpiling coins': 124 companies are frantically buying 816,000 BTC (worth 58 billion RMB); MicroStrategy's CEO Saylor is particularly bullish, continuing to increase positions even at a cost of 70,000 dollars, clearly betting on a super bull market!
Great Sage's view: These institutions are not altruistic; their aggressive buying indicates that internal estimates for target prices are definitely above 140,000!
Policy assistance:
The U.S. passed (the Stablecoin Act), Hong Kong issued licenses, and regulation has shifted from 'blacklist' to 'business-friendly'.
Trump has voiced support for the crypto space (60%+ chance of being elected), expectations for tax cuts and relaxed regulations are high, and large funds are daring to enter!
Global liquidity grabbing:
The Federal Reserve may cut rates in September (dollar devaluation), Bitcoin becomes a new safe-haven asset — during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold surged, and now in the chaos in the Middle East, BTC is soaring alongside gold!
Globally, there is a massive sell-off of U.S. Treasuries, and Bitcoin is being treated as an 'anti-inflation weapon', especially large holders are afraid the dollar will turn to paper.
3. If it really surges to 140,000, what will the crypto world look like?
Phase One: Bitcoin dances alone, altcoins suffer
BTC is surging, with all funds pouring into 'leading safe assets'; the altcoins you hold might drop to the point of questioning life (refer to the April market).
Phase Two: Ethereum leads the counterattack
If Ethereum breaks through 2,600 dollars, it will trigger an altcoin season; the L2 sector (like Polygon, Arb) and AI coins (like RNDR) might explode.
Phase Three: Chaos and frenzy moment
The meme coin craze is back (the new dog king $WEPE has emerged), projects are flying everywhere, and retail investors' FOMO sentiment is explosive!
Bloody lessons: In April 2024, Bitcoin fell 14% in a single day, causing 1.4 billion dollars in liquidations! The more it surges, the worse the stampede; remember not to use leverage recklessly!
Personal bold claim:
Institutions are more anxious than retail investors: BlackRock's holdings are nearing Satoshi Nakamoto's; they need to push prices higher to offload, and 140,000 is definitely not the endpoint!
Retail investors' fatal weakness: always wanting to 'wait for a pullback to buy', but if it breaks the neckline at 113,000, it will likely surge straight up; by the time you hesitate, the train will have left!
Maximum Black Swan: War in the Middle East or a sudden hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (for example, hinting at only one rate cut in 2025) could break the support at 104,000!
The '100,000 Dollar Defense Battle' has already begun, do you think it can hold?
Comments area betting:
A. Hold on! 140,000 by the end of summer
B. Break down! Waterfall wash to 90,000
Follow the Great Sage for live updates the moment it breaks 107,500 dollars! The usual rule: share and three people will be drawn to receive (Secrets to escaping the bull market)!
'Buy Bitcoin in batches near 104,000; increase positions in altcoins when Ethereum breaks 2,600; Memo coins are only for profit now, keep 30% cash to guard against Black Swans!'
