#我的交易风格 Trading style is indeed the core framework of the investment system. My style can be summarized as "macro-driven reflexive arbitrage"—integrating Soros's reflexivity theory, Keynes's beauty contest, and the unique volatility of the cryptocurrency market.
The cryptocurrency market experiences a temporal and spatial mismatch between "macro liquidity" and "local liquidity". When the Federal Reserve's policy shifts, BTC/ETH often leads the reaction in U.S. stocks, while altcoins lag by 2-3 weeks.
In December 2024, the Federal Reserve hinted at pausing interest rate hikes, execution path:
• D1: Long BTC breaks $105,000
• D5: ETH/BTC exchange rate falls to 0.048, reverse to long ETH
• D14: Increase position in SOL when SOL/ETH breaks 0.02, total return 42%.