#波段交易策略 My swing trading strategy core is "Three Cycles Resonance + On-chain Verification"**, integrating macro liquidity, on-chain smart money movements, and technical breakout signals. The holding period is usually 2-6 weeks, targeting to capture 15-40% swing profits.
Federal Reserve balance sheet growth rate
Changes in total supply of stablecoins
Weekly net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs
When all three are synchronously positive, only go long and not short; otherwise, reduce positions or go short.
April 2025 ETH swing trading
Federal Reserve pauses balance sheet reduction + weekly net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs of $1.2 billion
Top 10 on-chain ETH wallets increase holdings by 4.2% weekly + Lido staking volume exceeds 12 million ETH
ETH/BTC exchange rate weekly line stabilizes at support level of 0.048
Swing trading is not about prediction, but about reflection. When the macro warm winds blow, on-chain footprints appear, and technical structures confirm, the market is already shouting direction at you; you just need to bend down and pick up the wallet. Refuse the impulse of "feeling it will rise," use three-dimensional signal cross-validation, and make swing trading a replicable cash machine.
