In the long journey of the financial market, tonight is destined to be an extremely critical and noteworthy milestone. The mystery of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will soon be unveiled tonight, and Powell at this moment is like the 'puppet master' controlling the market's fate, with countless investors focusing on him, trying to decipher the future direction of the market from his every word and action.
The market has long been in a state of anxious waiting, as if in the calm before the storm, with everyone guessing whether Powell will initiate a 'harsh crackdown storm' on new fields like cryptocurrencies, introducing strict tightening policies, or whether he will inject a 'gentle warm current' into the market to stimulate prosperous development through loose monetary policies.
However, Trump seems like an impatient 'instigator,' shouting that the Federal Reserve must cut rates by 200 basis points; such remarks are truly shocking and seem a bit fanciful.
Calm analysis shows that at 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, which is highly likely to maintain the status quo without cutting rates. The market has already gotten wind of this news, and investors are mentally prepared. But the real highlight is Powell's far-reaching speech after the decision.
Imagine if Powell steadfastly focused on controlling inflation in his speech and implicitly hinted at future interest rate hikes; that would undoubtedly be a nightmare blow to the market. Rate hikes mean tightening liquidity, and the funds in the market seem to gradually diminish as if under a spell, severely restricting both investment and consumption, leading to a dramatic decline in market activity.
On the contrary, if Powell shows a tendency towards economic stimulus and cleverly hints at the possibility of future rate cuts in his speech, the market will welcome a festive celebration. Rate cuts act like a shot of adrenaline for the market, loosening liquidity expectations, making funds in the market abundant, and igniting enthusiasm for investment and consumption, resulting in a vibrant and lively market. This is a scenario all investors love to see.
Trump's high-profile call for rate cuts at this moment also reflects a desire for loose policies among some people. However, whether the Federal Reserve will follow his wishes is entirely in Powell's hands; tonight's speech will decide everything. This financial market 'drama' is about to unfold, and we can only hold our breath and wait for the final outcome.
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