Tonight at 2 AM, the interest rate decision will be announced. Each announcement leads to significant market fluctuations, so everyone can pay attention.
The expected value is 4.5%, which is the same as last month. Many people are confused about the data, so let me explain simply.
The data announced tonight at 2 AM can go in three directions:
If the announced data > 4.5% directly exceeds the expected value, there's no need to think—there will definitely be a big drop, with Bitcoin below 80,000 (very unlikely).
If the announced data = 4.5% directly meets the expected value, it will be a wait-and-see situation, with a 70% chance of rising, Bitcoin will go back up to 110,000 and then come down, and a 30% chance of a direct pullback below 100,000 (most likely maintaining the interest rate unchanged).
If the announced data < 4.5% a major positive signal comes, it will directly declare that a bull market is on the way, and investors should rush in; Bitcoin is sure to break new highs of 120,000+ soon (estimated to be a wait-and-see situation; interest rate cuts may come in July or September).
