Tonight, the world is focused! The "ultimate preview" of the Fed's rate cut is about to be revealed? The crypto market may usher in a change.
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will announce its July interest rate decision. This moment is undoubtedly the focus of the global market. Although Fed officials are unlikely to easily adjust interest rates this week, this meeting is still regarded as one of the most important interest rate meetings of the year.
Nick Timiraos, a well-known journalist known as the "New Fed News Agency", pointed out that the Fed has held four meetings in the first half of this year, and each time it has considered rate cuts as a matter for future consideration. However, the development of inflation and the labor market this time may prompt officials to send a clear signal, indicating that there is a high possibility of a rate cut at the September meeting.
Data last Friday showed that the U.S. core PCE price index in June, excluding food and energy prices, has fallen to 2.6% from 4.3% in the same period last year and a peak of 5.6% two years ago. Even Williams, the third person in the Fed, admitted that the decline in inflation is comprehensive and refuted concerns that it will be extremely difficult to pull the inflation rate all the way back to the 2% target set by the Fed.
The Fed's monetary policy statement is expected to trigger the first round of market fluctuations at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday. However, the final right of interpretation will undoubtedly depend on the attitude of the Fed's top leader half an hour later, and his hawkish and dovish tendencies will determine the direction of the market.
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