利率决议
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Powell has spoken, will the Federal Reserve meeting in December change?
Attention to family members in the cryptocurrency and financial circles! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has dropped another 'bomb'
The government shutdown may affect the interest rate meeting in December!
According to Odaily Planet Daily, Powell stated that the government shutdown has led to a lack of economic data, making the December meeting more cautious, and it may even pause interest rate adjustments due to insufficient data.
This has directly reversed market expectations!
CME FedWatch shows that the probability of a rate cut in December has plummeted from 66.9% to 55.9%, with funds wildly betting on the 'pause in rate cuts' scenario!
How should we interpret this move?
In simple terms, during the government shutdown, key data such as employment and inflation cannot be properly counted, and the Federal Reserve lacks 'decision-making basis', so it can only stabilize.
For us in the cryptocurrency and financial sectors, interest rate policy is a barometer of market trends! The cooling of rate cut expectations means that the liquidity of the US dollar and the trends of risk assets (like BTC) need to be reassessed.
Want to know how this wave affects the crypto market and US stocks?
Follow me @财神极致玩家 , and I'll help you dissect the logic of Federal Reserve policies, keep a close eye on the December meeting trends, and seize the profit opportunities in market fluctuations!
After all, Powell's words can make the market 'shake three times', and we must keep up with the rhythm!
#美国结束政府停摆
#美联储会议
#鲍威尔讲话
#利率决议
#加密市场
Attention to family members in the cryptocurrency and financial circles! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has dropped another 'bomb'
The government shutdown may affect the interest rate meeting in December!
According to Odaily Planet Daily, Powell stated that the government shutdown has led to a lack of economic data, making the December meeting more cautious, and it may even pause interest rate adjustments due to insufficient data.
This has directly reversed market expectations!
CME FedWatch shows that the probability of a rate cut in December has plummeted from 66.9% to 55.9%, with funds wildly betting on the 'pause in rate cuts' scenario!
How should we interpret this move?
In simple terms, during the government shutdown, key data such as employment and inflation cannot be properly counted, and the Federal Reserve lacks 'decision-making basis', so it can only stabilize.
For us in the cryptocurrency and financial sectors, interest rate policy is a barometer of market trends! The cooling of rate cut expectations means that the liquidity of the US dollar and the trends of risk assets (like BTC) need to be reassessed.
Want to know how this wave affects the crypto market and US stocks?
Follow me @财神极致玩家 , and I'll help you dissect the logic of Federal Reserve policies, keep a close eye on the December meeting trends, and seize the profit opportunities in market fluctuations!
After all, Powell's words can make the market 'shake three times', and we must keep up with the rhythm!
#美国结束政府停摆
#美联储会议
#鲍威尔讲话
#利率决议
#加密市场
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A night that every trader must endure, at 2:30 AM, I am ready, are you ready?
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at 2 AM tomorrow. Last week's PC mildly increased Powell's dovish stance, but the non-farm employment data keeps the unemployment rate at 4.2%, which gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to find a hawkish stance. So these two factors offset each other, and it is highly likely that there will be no interest rate cut news tonight. Moreover, from the current situation, Powell is very likely to continue to stand firm against the understanding king, maintaining the tough image of not cutting interest rates.
Manage your positions well!
#利率决议
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at 2 AM tomorrow. Last week's PC mildly increased Powell's dovish stance, but the non-farm employment data keeps the unemployment rate at 4.2%, which gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to find a hawkish stance. So these two factors offset each other, and it is highly likely that there will be no interest rate cut news tonight. Moreover, from the current situation, Powell is very likely to continue to stand firm against the understanding king, maintaining the tough image of not cutting interest rates.
Manage your positions well!
#利率决议
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Tonight at 2 AM, the interest rate decision will be announced. Each announcement leads to significant market fluctuations, so everyone can pay attention.
The expected value is 4.5%, which is the same as last month. Many people are confused about the data, so let me explain simply.
The data announced tonight at 2 AM can go in three directions:
If the announced data > 4.5% directly exceeds the expected value, there's no need to think—there will definitely be a big drop, with Bitcoin below 80,000 (very unlikely).
If the announced data = 4.5% directly meets the expected value, it will be a wait-and-see situation, with a 70% chance of rising, Bitcoin will go back up to 110,000 and then come down, and a 30% chance of a direct pullback below 100,000 (most likely maintaining the interest rate unchanged).
If the announced data < 4.5% a major positive signal comes, it will directly declare that a bull market is on the way, and investors should rush in; Bitcoin is sure to break new highs of 120,000+ soon (estimated to be a wait-and-see situation; interest rate cuts may come in July or September).
#利率决议
The expected value is 4.5%, which is the same as last month. Many people are confused about the data, so let me explain simply.
The data announced tonight at 2 AM can go in three directions:
If the announced data > 4.5% directly exceeds the expected value, there's no need to think—there will definitely be a big drop, with Bitcoin below 80,000 (very unlikely).
If the announced data = 4.5% directly meets the expected value, it will be a wait-and-see situation, with a 70% chance of rising, Bitcoin will go back up to 110,000 and then come down, and a 30% chance of a direct pullback below 100,000 (most likely maintaining the interest rate unchanged).
If the announced data < 4.5% a major positive signal comes, it will directly declare that a bull market is on the way, and investors should rush in; Bitcoin is sure to break new highs of 120,000+ soon (estimated to be a wait-and-see situation; interest rate cuts may come in July or September).
#利率决议
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Federal Reserve interest rate cut bombshell! A 50 basis point storm is on the way, should the crypto world celebrate in advance? Iron Hawk is making urgent arrangements!
This message is the real market engine for tonight! The expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is strengthening, the liquidity dam is reopening, and cryptocurrencies will become the biggest beneficiaries!
Iron Hawk's in-depth analysis:
An interest rate cut of 25 basis points in October has already been priced in, and the market's reaction has been limited, but if there is an unexpected cut of 50 basis points in December, it will ignite global risk assets!
Historical patterns show that during interest rate cut cycles, BTC's average increase exceeds 200%, and whales have long been secretly positioning long positions (refer to the previous 290 million bet).
If a 50 basis point cut is realized, expectations of dollar depreciation + rampant liquidity could lead BTC to violently break through the 130,000 mark!
Retail survival guide:
Act now: gradually accumulate BTC and ETH, prioritize positioning in interest rate sensitive assets (such as the DeFi sector).
Strategy: 70% long position, 30% flexible, stop loss if it falls below 105,000.
Beware of market reversals: if the December interest rate cut falls through, short-term corrections are inevitable, but the trend has already formed; drops are just opportunities to buy!
Iron Hawk's declaration: The bull market train has started, don’t wait for FOMO to chase the high! #利率决议
Follow Iron Hawk @铁鹰说币 , to help you position in the village on the eve of the interest rate cut! Ambushing multiple cryptocurrencies!
This message is the real market engine for tonight! The expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is strengthening, the liquidity dam is reopening, and cryptocurrencies will become the biggest beneficiaries!
Iron Hawk's in-depth analysis:
An interest rate cut of 25 basis points in October has already been priced in, and the market's reaction has been limited, but if there is an unexpected cut of 50 basis points in December, it will ignite global risk assets!
Historical patterns show that during interest rate cut cycles, BTC's average increase exceeds 200%, and whales have long been secretly positioning long positions (refer to the previous 290 million bet).
If a 50 basis point cut is realized, expectations of dollar depreciation + rampant liquidity could lead BTC to violently break through the 130,000 mark!
Retail survival guide:
Act now: gradually accumulate BTC and ETH, prioritize positioning in interest rate sensitive assets (such as the DeFi sector).
Strategy: 70% long position, 30% flexible, stop loss if it falls below 105,000.
Beware of market reversals: if the December interest rate cut falls through, short-term corrections are inevitable, but the trend has already formed; drops are just opportunities to buy!
Iron Hawk's declaration: The bull market train has started, don’t wait for FOMO to chase the high! #利率决议
Follow Iron Hawk @铁鹰说币 , to help you position in the village on the eve of the interest rate cut! Ambushing multiple cryptocurrencies!
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$BTC $ETH
There are less than three hours until the results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting are out, it's time to buy and hold!
😁😁😁😁😁
Cut by 25 basis points or hold?
Bullish or bearish?
It seems there is not much suspense,
The media has early bets on a 25 basis point cut,
But the market chooses to decline before the answer is announced,
Leaving the answer uncertain.
After the answer is announced,
Will it accelerate the decline or rise rapidly?
This position indeed allows for both attack and retreat,
The last steep drop started in this place,
The chances of this situation occurring are low,
Unless a sudden announcement to pause the rate cut is made!
#降息放水 #利率决议
There are less than three hours until the results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting are out, it's time to buy and hold!
😁😁😁😁😁
Cut by 25 basis points or hold?
Bullish or bearish?
It seems there is not much suspense,
The media has early bets on a 25 basis point cut,
But the market chooses to decline before the answer is announced,
Leaving the answer uncertain.
After the answer is announced,
Will it accelerate the decline or rise rapidly?
This position indeed allows for both attack and retreat,
The last steep drop started in this place,
The chances of this situation occurring are low,
Unless a sudden announcement to pause the rate cut is made!
#降息放水 #利率决议
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Today's focus is #利率决议
Interest rate decision at 2 AM on the 31st
Under the heavy pressure from the understanding king, how will old Powell ultimately choose? 🤷
At the same time, long positions will be finally processed before the evening, video will be provided later.
Interest rate decision at 2 AM on the 31st
Under the heavy pressure from the understanding king, how will old Powell ultimately choose? 🤷
At the same time, long positions will be finally processed before the evening, video will be provided later.
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What is the probability of a preventive interest rate cut on the 31st, and what are the viewpoints from the three factions? What is the likelihood of Powell backing down this time? A video explains the thought process, with possible scenarios before the rate cut, helping you avoid detours. #利率决议 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储何时降息？
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Tonight, the world is focused! The "ultimate preview" of the Fed's rate cut is about to be revealed? The crypto market may usher in a change.
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will announce its July interest rate decision. This moment is undoubtedly the focus of the global market. Although Fed officials are unlikely to easily adjust interest rates this week, this meeting is still regarded as one of the most important interest rate meetings of the year.
Nick Timiraos, a well-known journalist known as the "New Fed News Agency", pointed out that the Fed has held four meetings in the first half of this year, and each time it has considered rate cuts as a matter for future consideration. However, the development of inflation and the labor market this time may prompt officials to send a clear signal, indicating that there is a high possibility of a rate cut at the September meeting.
Data last Friday showed that the U.S. core PCE price index in June, excluding food and energy prices, has fallen to 2.6% from 4.3% in the same period last year and a peak of 5.6% two years ago. Even Williams, the third person in the Fed, admitted that the decline in inflation is comprehensive and refuted concerns that it will be extremely difficult to pull the inflation rate all the way back to the 2% target set by the Fed.
The Fed's monetary policy statement is expected to trigger the first round of market fluctuations at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday. However, the final right of interpretation will undoubtedly depend on the attitude of the Fed's top leader half an hour later, and his hawkish and dovish tendencies will determine the direction of the market.
#美联储何时降息？ #利率决议 #超级央行周
$TRB $XRP $SOL
Follow Sanjin (Introduction to the circle, get rich together)
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will announce its July interest rate decision. This moment is undoubtedly the focus of the global market. Although Fed officials are unlikely to easily adjust interest rates this week, this meeting is still regarded as one of the most important interest rate meetings of the year.
Nick Timiraos, a well-known journalist known as the "New Fed News Agency", pointed out that the Fed has held four meetings in the first half of this year, and each time it has considered rate cuts as a matter for future consideration. However, the development of inflation and the labor market this time may prompt officials to send a clear signal, indicating that there is a high possibility of a rate cut at the September meeting.
Data last Friday showed that the U.S. core PCE price index in June, excluding food and energy prices, has fallen to 2.6% from 4.3% in the same period last year and a peak of 5.6% two years ago. Even Williams, the third person in the Fed, admitted that the decline in inflation is comprehensive and refuted concerns that it will be extremely difficult to pull the inflation rate all the way back to the 2% target set by the Fed.
The Fed's monetary policy statement is expected to trigger the first round of market fluctuations at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday. However, the final right of interpretation will undoubtedly depend on the attitude of the Fed's top leader half an hour later, and his hawkish and dovish tendencies will determine the direction of the market.
#美联储何时降息？ #利率决议 #超级央行周
$TRB $XRP $SOL
Follow Sanjin (Introduction to the circle, get rich together)
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"The Night Before the Fed's Rate Cut, the Entire Market Awaits Powell's Remarks"
A historic moment arrives; how will the rate cut impact the crypto market?
On October 30th at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, followed by Powell's monetary policy press conference. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, which will be a significant turning point this year.
The impact of the rate cut on the cryptocurrency market:
· Improved liquidity: Lower interest rates mean cheaper borrowing costs and more abundant market liquidity, with some funds potentially flowing into crypto assets seeking higher returns.
· Weaker dollar: Rate cuts typically lead to a depreciation of the dollar, causing dollar-denominated cryptocurrencies to naturally appreciate.
· Increased risk appetite: Rate cuts are seen as a boon for risk assets, and the crypto market, as a representative of high-risk, high-return investments, will directly benefit.
History does not repeat itself simply, but it does rhyme: looking back at the 2021 bull market, the low interest rate environment was a key driver of the rise in crypto assets.
As the easing cycle begins, the crypto market welcomes its strongest catalyst. #美联储会议 #利率决议 #鲍威尔
A historic moment arrives; how will the rate cut impact the crypto market?
On October 30th at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, followed by Powell's monetary policy press conference. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, which will be a significant turning point this year.
The impact of the rate cut on the cryptocurrency market:
· Improved liquidity: Lower interest rates mean cheaper borrowing costs and more abundant market liquidity, with some funds potentially flowing into crypto assets seeking higher returns.
· Weaker dollar: Rate cuts typically lead to a depreciation of the dollar, causing dollar-denominated cryptocurrencies to naturally appreciate.
· Increased risk appetite: Rate cuts are seen as a boon for risk assets, and the crypto market, as a representative of high-risk, high-return investments, will directly benefit.
History does not repeat itself simply, but it does rhyme: looking back at the 2021 bull market, the low interest rate environment was a key driver of the rise in crypto assets.
As the easing cycle begins, the crypto market welcomes its strongest catalyst. #美联储会议 #利率决议 #鲍威尔
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【September Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: Intensifying Internal Divisions, Possible First Three Dissenting Votes Since 1988 | Crypto Navigator Feiyu】
The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting from September 16 to 17. This meeting is highly anticipated, not only because the market generally expects a rate cut to be initiated, but also due to the potential for significant internal divisions. Analysts point out that this meeting may see three board members casting dissenting votes, which would mark the first time since the early term of former Chairman Greenspan in 1988 that the Federal Reserve's policy decision has faced such a level of opposition.
$SOL
🔍 One, Four key figures and the potential for a 'four-way battle'
The biggest highlight of this meeting is the dramatic change in the composition of voting members and the potential for a 'four-way battle.' The diagram below outlines the core viewpoints and representative figures of each camp:
$SOL
🔍 One, Four key figures and the potential for a 'four-way battle'
The biggest highlight of this meeting is the dramatic change in the composition of voting members and the potential for a 'four-way battle.' The diagram below outlines the core viewpoints and representative figures of each camp:
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