Current price: $104,383 (‑3.88%) | Intraday range: $103,597 – $108,753

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1. Plan objective

Goal: To obtain profits from short and medium-term movements.

Horizon: From days to weeks.

2. Context analysis

Recent trend: BTC retraced from highs near $108k, with support at $103.6k.

Key resistance: Upon breaking $100k, the technical target could rise to $107k–$110k.

**Reference supports:**

First support around $103.6k, below the current intraday range.

Second support at $92k–$85k according to historical analysis.

3. Entry and exit strategy

Buy (entry):

If BTC approaches $103,600–$104,000, confirm with reversal candles.

Initial contribution: 10% of total capital allocated.

Stop-loss: about 2% below the entry (≈$102,000).

**Exit (take profit):**

Target 1: $108,500 (intraday range resistance).

Target 2: $110,000–$112,000, historical consolidation zone (mentioned in news).

4. Risk management

Position size: Do not risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade.

Stop-loss: Rigid, activated if the price falls 2% below the entry.

Diversification: Do not invest more than 25% of the portfolio in BTC.

Periodic review: Evaluate after each significant movement, adapting SL/TP or closing the position if the trend changes.

5. Technical tools

Suggested indicators:

RSI 14 to measure overbought/oversold.

Short MA (20) and long MA (50) to detect bullish (golden cross) or bearish (death cross) crossings.

Actions:

Buy if RSI < 30 (oversold) and MA20 crosses MA50 upwards.

Do not enter if RSI > 70 (overbought).

6. Registration and analysis

Trading diary: Record date, entry/exit price, reason, outcome, and sentiment.

Weekly review: Evaluate win/loss ratio, adjust strategy according to detected patterns.

7. Continuous adaptation

Stay alert for key news: For example, Morgan Stanley integrating spot trading may drive prices up.

Reevaluate levels: Update resistances and supports according to new technical zones.

Maintain discipline: Avoid impulsive decisions due to FOMO/FUD.

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📌 Quick summary

Element Detail

Current price $104,383

Entry $103,600–104,000

Stop-loss ≈ $102,000 (–2%)

T1 / T2 $108,500 / $110–112k

Risk per trade 1–2% of capital

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