📌 Current market context
Current price: ~$108,570 (intra-day range of $105,426–$108,579)
Macro trend: Positive reaction to pro-crypto policies (Trump, GENIUS Act), with BTC near all-time highs (~$111,970 on May 22).
Technical volatility:
4h RSI at 72 → overbought zone.
Positive MACD and strong bullish options flow.
Increase in spot volume and institutional flows.
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🎯 Plan objectives
Short term (day/swing)
Look for breakouts of $109,000–$110,000.
Take profits near $113,000–$115,000, in case of bullish extension.
Initial stop-loss level: $105,000.
Medium term (2–4 weeks)
If consolidates above $108,000, target $120,000.
Protection: trailing stop of 5% if support of $108,000 is broken.
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🧭 Technical strategies
1. Pull-back + support
Entry: $108,000–$108,500 after confirming support.
Confirmation: volume and rejection in 4h/1h candles.
2. Clean break-out
Entry: above $110,000–$110,500 with strong volume.
Dynamic stop: trailing stop of 3–5% below the breakout close.
3. Overbought moment + RSI divergence
High RSI → wait for a correction of 5–7%.
Shorts only with very low leverage or hedges (options).
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🛠 Risk and capital management
Allocation: 5–10% of the portfolio for BTC spot.
Stop-loss:
Pull-back: <$105,000.
Break-out: dynamic trailing stop of 5%.
Position size: 1–2% of capital per trade.
Partial profit withdrawal:
50% upon reaching $113,000–$115,000.
Adjust stop to breakeven + margin.
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🔍 Key follow-up factors
Macro events: U.S. CPI, trade tensions.
Institutional flows: spot ETFs, corporate purchases.
On-chain indicators: flows to exchanges, open interest in spot and options.
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📊 Summary of actions
Strategy Entry level Target exit Stop-loss
Pull-back $108k–108.5k $113k–115k <$105k
Break-out >$110.5k with volume $115k–120k trailing 5%
Short RSI >70 + rejection $105k–108k Strict / Hedging
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✨ Final note
Patience and discipline are key in trading, especially in a market as volatile as cryptocurrencies. Remember that every move should be backed by analysis and not by emotional impulses. Stay calm, review your entry and exit levels, and act confidently in your strategy. The best trade is the one executed with planning and serenity! 🚀📈
#btc70k #Spot #BTC110KSoon? #MarketRebound #StrategyBTCPurchase $BTC
