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Trade Plane Currently it's moving in up trend but if he breaks the trend line the next target of TRX will be
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#FOMCMeeting The June 17–18, 2025 FOMC meeting is underway, and here's the latest outlook: --- 📌 What to Expect No rate change: The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25 – 4.50 percent, as signaled by futures markets showing a ~99.9% probability of a hold . Cautious stance: Despite easing inflation, FOMC officials remain wary of tariff-driven inflation and global uncertainties, preferring to watch incoming data before committing to rate cuts . Updated projections ("dot plot"): The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections is expected to maintain a median Outlook for two rate cuts in 2025, likely signaling the first cut later this year, possibly September or December . --- 🔍 Key Drivers to Watch 1. Inflation data: Recent CPI and PPI prints have been softer, but tariffs could reignite inflation—Fed officials are tracking price dynamics closely . 2. Labor market strength: Unemployment at ~4.2% with solid job gains support a steady policy for now . 3. Trade risks: Ongoing tariff tensions—especially with China and involving the U.S.—could delay rate cuts as the Fed remains cautious . --- ⏰ Timeline Decision release: June 18, 2025 at **2:00 PM ET (6:00 PM UTC)** . Powell's press conference: Immediately following the rate decision—critical for signaling future monetary steps. --- 📝 Summary Rates will remain at 4.25–4.50% at this meeting. The FOMC will maintain a cautious tone given trade-induced inflation risks. Look for forward guidance on the timing of projected rate cuts; the dot plot should reaffirm the Fed expects cuts later in 2025. ---
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#FOMCMeeting https://www.morningstar.com/economy/june-fomc-meeting-preview-how-long-will-fed-keep-waiting-rate-cuts) - **Press Conference**: The policy statement will be released at 2:00 p.m. ET on June 18, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m. ET. Powell is likely to emphasize data dependency and caution regarding economic uncertainties, including tariff effects and potential shifts to flexible inflation targeting.[](https://equalsmoney.com/economic-calendar/events/fomc-meeting)[](https://www.ey.com/en_us/insights/strategy/macroeconomics/fomc-meeting) - **Market Sentiment**: Posts on X suggest varied scenarios, with a 70% chance of a neutral outcome (maintaining two projected cuts for 2025) and a 10% chance of a dovish shift (three cuts). Markets are focused on the dot plot and Powell’s comments for clues on future rate moves.[](https://x.com/OraclumCapital/status/1934835543277244589)[](https://x.com/OraclumCapital/status/1934834352283685211) - **Key Considerations**: The Fed is balancing risks of rising inflation and potential economic slowdown. Political pressure from President Trump, who has called for rate cuts, adds complexity, but the Fed remains data-driven. The impact of tariffs and robust job growth (228,000 jobs added in March) are critical factors.[](https://www.investopedia.com/federal-reserve-june-2025-fomc-meeting-preview-interest-rates-11754277)[](https://www.bankrate.com/banking/federal-reserve/fomc-what-to-expect/) For real-time updates or specific details during the meeting, you can follow the FOMC’s policy statement and Powell’s press conference on June 18 via the Federal Reserve’s website or livestreamed platforms. If you’re looking for market reactions or specific investment implications, let me know, and I can tailor the response further[](https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2025-june.htm)
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#FOMCMeeting The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for June 17–18, 2025, is a key event where the Federal Reserve discusses U.S. monetary policy, including the federal funds rate, which is currently at 4.25%–4.50%. Here’s a summary based on available information: - **Expectations**: The FOMC is widely expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50%, with over a 60% probability according to the CME FedWatch Tool. No rate cuts are anticipated for June, with markets pricing in potential cuts in September or later, possibly two quarter-point reductions by year-end.[](https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html)[](https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/banking/when-is-the-next-fed-meeting)[](https://x.com/Trade_The_News/status/1934884258209784103) - **Economic Context**: The Fed is adopting a "wait-and-see" approach due to uncertainties around trade policies, particularly tariffs, and their impact on inflation and growth. Inflation remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target, while the labor market is solid but showing signs of softening, with initial jobless claims at 248,000 for the week ending June 7. The FOMC is monitoring data closely, as recent reports suggest inflation is cooling but could rise due to tariffs.[](https://www.investopedia.com/federal-reserve-june-2025-fomc-meeting-preview-interest-rates-11754277)[](https://www.morningstar.com/economy/june-fomc-meeting-preview-how-long-will-fed-keep-waiting-rate-cuts)[](https://www.kiplinger.com/news/live/june-fed-meeting-updates-and-commentary-2025) - **Summary of Economic Projections (SEP)**: The June meeting includes an updated SEP, or "dot plot," which will provide insights into FOMC members’ expectations for interest rates, GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment through 2025 and beyond. Analysts expect a stagflationary outlook, with lower GDP growth projections (around 1.2% for Q4 2025) and higher inflation forecasts (core PCE at 3.0% for Q4 2025).[](https://www.ey.com/en_us/insights/strategy/macroeconomics/fomc-meeting)[](
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$BTC Here’s the latest on Bitcoin as of June 16, 2025: --- 📊 Price & Technicals ✅ Bitcoin is trading around $106,669, rebounding from geopolitical dips below $104K . 📈 A golden cross (50‑day MA crossing above the 200‑day) signals continued bullish momentum . Intra‑day range: roughly $104.6K–$106.7K, showing consolidation near support at $104K and resistance around $108–110K . --- 🚀 Market Drivers & Momentum Institutional inflows continue via spot ETFs and corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Metaplanet with ~$5.4B acquisition plans) . Geopolitical tensions (Middle East) caused mild selling but BTC quickly recovered . Macro tailwinds include easing inflation and possible Fed pivot—potential catalyst for a move toward $115K . --- 🏛️ Policy & Institutional Ecosystem U.S. regulatory clarity improving: SEC Crypto Task Force advances; GENIUS & CLARITY bills progressing . Strategic BTC reserve: U.S. government now holds ~200K BTC via seized assets; Trump pushed creation of a national Bitcoin reserve . ProCapBTC: Anthony Pompliano launching a $750M vehicle to accumulate BTC, echoing trends by firms like MicroStrategy . --- ⚠️ Outlook & Price Forecasts Near-term consolidation: Likely range of $104–110K, with key breakouts possible above $108K targeting $110–115K . Mid-to-long term potential: Outlook models suggest $130K–$150K if regulatory clarity continues and Fed remains accommodative . Loftier projections from some (e.g., Scaramucci) push BTC toward $200K this year, though this is considered highly optimistic . --- 🧩 Summary Table Category Details Current Price ≈ $106.7K Technical Signal Golden cross, consolidated range $104–110K Key Drivers ETFs, institutional treasuries, macro easing, regulatory clarity Risks Geopolitical shocks, Fed policy surprises Short-term Forecast Retest of $104K; breakout to $110–115K Mid/Long-term Forecast $130K–150K in this cycle; $200K possible but speculative --- 🔎 Takeaway
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