#IsraelIranConflict

📉 Broad Crypto Market Reaction

#BTC dipped ~2–5% during the peak of tensions, briefly falling below $103,000 before rebounding to around $105,000 .

#ETH dropped around 7–9%, while altcoins like Solana, XRP, BNB, and Dogecoin also saw sharp declines .

The total crypto market cap fell by roughly $140–$230 billion—equating to a 4–7% sell-off .

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🛑 Risk-Off Behavior

Investors fled risk assets towards traditional safe havens: gold (+1%), U.S. dollar, yen, and Treasuries .

This behavior undermines the “digital gold” narrative for #BTC as it didn’t act like a crisis hedge—while gold remained strong, Bitcoin lagged .

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⚖️ Technical & On‑Chain Insights

Post-dip, Bitcoin rebounded from the ~$102.8k zone, supported around its 50‑day moving average. Analysts note a pattern similar to October 2024—an 80% rally followed a major dip .

On‑chain data shows modest exchange inflows and stable Open Interest, signaling that holders and traders didn't panic-sell .

Macro perspective from Raoul Pal suggests Bitcoin aligns more with global liquidity trends (M2 supply) than geopolitical shocks—which might explain resilience amid the crisis.