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#FOMCMeeting 📌 Key Highlights 1. Rate decision The Fed held the federal funds target at 4.25%–4.50%, marking a third consecutive pause. This aligns with nearly 100% market expectations via CME's FedWatch tool . 2. Tone and outlook The statement adopted a cautious, data-dependent approach—“wait‑and‑see”—remaining vigilant about ongoing inflation and labor market signals . Geopolitical and tariff-driven risks, particularly from recent U.S. tariffs and global instability, are keeping policymakers on edge . Economists anticipate just one 25 bps rate cut in 2025, less than previously expected—markets now expect this in September, with higher odds by December . 3. Dot plot & economic projections The Fed’s updated dot plot will be closely watched: projections are expected to indicate only one rate cut for 2025, compared to two in March. Expected revisions include slightly downgraded GDP growth (to ~1.2% for Q4), elevated inflation forecasts (~3%), and a modest uptick in unemployment to ~4.5% . 4. Focus: Powell's press conference Chair Powell will speak at 2:30 p.m. ET (~11:30 p.m. Pakistan local time). Analysts expect he’ll emphasize uncertainty from tariffs, reiterate the Fed’s independence, and highlight the central bank’s patience . 5. Market reaction Equities edged lower ahead of the decision (S&P 500 −0.3% on Tuesday), while bond yields softened on expectations of a slower tightening cycle . Oil prices are also being closely watched due to their inflationary ripple effects . ✅ Summary The Fed maintained its stance at 4.25%–4.50%, signaling a cautious pause as it assesses inflation risks tied to tariffs and global uncertainty. The dot‑plot is expected to show just one rate cut this year, likely in September, with more emphasis on inflation control than growth stimulation. Markets will now turn to Powell’s dot‑plot updates and his press‑conference remarks for cues on the timing and scale of future easing.
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#XRP #XRPsignal ✅ Trade Setup Entry Point (Buy): $2.25 (Current price shows consolidation after a dip, with RSI recovering slightly) Stop Loss: $2.17 (Just below the recent low, for capital protection) Take Profit 1 (Short-Term): $2.32 (Near resistance before the last rejection) Take Profit 2 (Extended Target): $2.36 (Next resistance near previous top)
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#IsraelIranConflict 📉 Broad Crypto Market Reaction #BTC dipped ~2–5% during the peak of tensions, briefly falling below $103,000 before rebounding to around $105,000 . #ETH dropped around 7–9%, while altcoins like Solana, XRP, BNB, and Dogecoin also saw sharp declines . The total crypto market cap fell by roughly $140–$230 billion—equating to a 4–7% sell-off . --- 🛑 Risk-Off Behavior Investors fled risk assets towards traditional safe havens: gold (+1%), U.S. dollar, yen, and Treasuries . This behavior undermines the “digital gold” narrative for #BTC as it didn’t act like a crisis hedge—while gold remained strong, Bitcoin lagged . --- ⚖️ Technical & On‑Chain Insights Post-dip, Bitcoin rebounded from the ~$102.8k zone, supported around its 50‑day moving average. Analysts note a pattern similar to October 2024—an 80% rally followed a major dip . On‑chain data shows modest exchange inflows and stable Open Interest, signaling that holders and traders didn't panic-sell . Macro perspective from Raoul Pal suggests Bitcoin aligns more with global liquidity trends (M2 supply) than geopolitical shocks—which might explain resilience amid the crisis.
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#BTC #downtrend Shares in Bluebird Mining Ventures (LSE:BMV) fell 7% after the company announced a non-binding agreement to acquire 756 Bitcoin mining machines, raising investor concerns over its shift into digital assets.
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#BTC : ~$107,800 #ETH : ~$2,766 Recent Liquidations: Nearly $1B wiped out in the 2nd week of June #BTC : ~$342M #ETH : ~$286M Altcoins (SOL, DOGE, XRP): ~$100M+ Cause: Market crash due to Musk–Trump feud and macro fears #Outlook : Volatility remains; traders await U.S. consumer sentiment data today.
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