🧮 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis — 12/06/2025
Current Price: $106,140
Daily Change: -2.42%
Timeframe: 1D (daily)
🔎 Key Indicators:
Bollinger Bands (20,2):
Upper: $111,133
Middle: $106,553
Lower: $101,973
👉 Price is testing the mid-band and losing momentum, approaching the lower range.
RSI (14): 51.71
Neutral zone, neither overbought nor oversold.
Slight bearish slope suggests continued pullback risk.
MACD:
DIF: 1,251 / DEA: 1,333
MACD negative (-81.97) confirms fading bullish momentum.
Possible bearish cross in coming candles if selling pressure continues.
Key Supports:
$105,700 (recent daily low).
$100,370 (previous key support zone).
Immediate Resistances:
$107,700
$111,000 (upper Bollinger band)
📊 Current Interpretation:
BTC recently bounced after testing $100k support.
Now facing a controlled pullback within consolidation range.
Candles show indecision but controlled selling pressure.
Breaking $105,700 could open downside toward $102,800 - $100,300.
Regaining $107,700 would reopen upside to $111k.
🔮 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish scenario (40% probability):
Technical rebound from mid-Bollinger if $105,700 holds → target $107,700 - $111k.
Sideways scenario (35% probability):
Range-bound between $105k and $107k while markets await macro triggers (inflation, rates, geopolitics).
Bearish scenario (25% probability):
Loss of $105k leads to correction toward $102,800 - $100,000, hunting institutional liquidity zones.
💡 Note for beginners:
This is a wide range zone, typical for accumulation/distribution. This is where big players position themselves. Don't panic — apply strategy, risk management, and patience around key levels.
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