🗓️ Date: June 12, 2025
💰 Current Price: $3.2673 (-5.42%)
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🔍 Key Changes vs Previous
❌ Broke below EMA(7) and EMA(99)
📉 RSI dropped to 44.50 → near oversold
📊 Volume collapsed to 14.7M vs 5-day avg 30.5M SUI
⚠️ Bullish MACD histogram divergence at +0.0067
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📈 Technical Breakdown
🔻 Capitulation Breakdown
Price broke below EMA(7) and key $3.30 psychological level
RSI dropped sharply → 44.50 (bearish, but not extreme)
MACD histogram turned positive → early reversal hint
Low volume suggests fakeout risk, not full-blown breakdown
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🧱 Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Support:
$3.2649 (24h low)
$3.0936 (chart support)
Resistance:
$3.3266 (EMA 7)
$3.3930 (EMA 25)
$3.4131 (chart resistance)
Breakdown Target:
$2.8467 (next support floor)
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🔮 Price Prediction
⏳ Next 12–24 Hours
🟥 Base Case (60%): Retest $3.2649 → break → $3.0936
🟩 Bounce Case (40%): MACD divergence bounce → $3.30 → $3.3266
🗓️ 3-Day Outlook
❌ Close <$3.2649 = risk of slide to $2.8467
✅ Close >$3.3266 = momentum shift to upside
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🧠 Trade Plan
🔻 Short Scalp (Next 4h)
Entry: $3.2700–$3.2800
Target: $3.2650 → $3.2500
Stop: $3.2900
Confirm: 15m close < $3.2680
🔄 Counter-Trend Long
Entry: $3.2650
Target: $3.3000 → $3.3200
Stop: $3.2600
Trigger: Bullish hammer + MACD histogram expansion
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📉 Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $3.2600
Target: $3.0936 → $3.0000
Stop: $3.2700
Confirm: 4h close < $3.2600
2. Divergence Long
Entry: $3.0936
Target: $3.2673 → $3.3266
Stop: $3.0800
Trigger: RSI <40 + Volume >25M
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🛡️ Risk Management
Position Size: ≤2% of account
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $3.2500, 50% at $3.2000
Long: 50% at $3.3000, 50% at $3.3200
Max Risk: 0.8% per trade
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⚙️ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h close below $3.2649
! RSI stays under 40
! EMA(7) stays below EMA(25)
! Breakdown volume >30M
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! MACD histogram > +0.01
! RSI crosses 50
! 4h close > $3.3000
! Volume spikes >25M SUI
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✅ Summary
SUI/USDT is showing signs of bearish breakdown, but also MACD bullish divergence:
🔐 Key Resistance: $3.3266 (must reclaim for reversal)
⚠️ Key Support: $3.2649 (if broken = slide to $3.09)
🧠 Best Setups:
1. Short scalps at $3.2700 → target $3.2500
2. Breakdown shorts below $3.2600 → target $3.0936
3. Divergence longs at $3.2650 or $3.0936 w/ MACD & volume support
🚫 Avoid longs above $3.2800 unless MACD confirms + RSI reversal
🎯 Exit 50% short at $3.2500, trail remainder
TAKE TRADE FROM HERE 👉 $SUI
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