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šļø Date: June 11, 2025
š° Current Price: $159.50 (-3.17%)
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š Key Changes vs Previous
ā Price broke below EMA(25) ā trend weakness
š RSI plunged to 53.09 (from 68.13) ā momentum fading
š MACD histogram reduced from +0.30 ā +0.21
š» Volume weak: 590K SOL vs 5-day avg 2.57M ā breakdown lacks conviction
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š Technical Breakdown
š“ Bearish Structure Building
Price now under EMA(25) ā short-term bias flipped
Price testing triple confluence: EMA(7), EMA(99), 24h low zone
š Volume Discrepancy
Weak sell volume ā possible fakeout or delayed panic
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š§± Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels:
$159.91 (EMA 25 - now resistance)
$160.50 (psychological level)
$168.36 (24h high)
Support Levels:
$158.74 (24h low)
$158.12 (EMA 99)
$155.00 (minor chart support)
$149.28 (next major support)
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š® Price Prediction
ā³ Next 12ā24 Hours
š„ Base Case (60%): Breakdown below $158.12 ā $157.00 ā $155.00
š© Bounce Case (40%): Support holds ā bounce to $159.90 ā $160.50
šļø 3-Day Outlook
š» Close below $158.00 ā opens room for $149.28
š¼ Close above $160.50 ā recovery back toward $165.00
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š§ Trade Plan
š» Short Scalp (Immediate 4h)
Entry: $159.30ā$159.50
Target: $158.50 ā $158.00
Stop: $159.80
Confirmation: 15m candle close <$159.30
š Counter Long
Entry: $158.50 (EMA 7/99 confluence)
Target: $159.90
Stop: $158.00
Trigger: Bullish divergence on 5m
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š Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $158.10
Target: $155.00 ā $149.28
Stop: $158.80
Confirm: 4h close <$158.00
2. Reversal Long
Entry: $160.60 (reclaim EMA 25)
Target: $162.00 ā $165.00
Stop: $159.50
Trigger: Volume >1.5M SOL & RSI >55
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š”ļø Risk Management
Position Size: ā¤2% of capital
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $158.00, 50% at $157.00
Long: 50% at $159.90, 50% at $160.50
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
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āļø Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! EMA(7) < EMA(25) = death cross
! RSI < 50 and falling
! 4h candle closes below $158.00
! Volume spike with red candle
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Hammer or engulfing candle at $158.50
! MACD histogram expands
! RSI > 55
! Volume >1.2M SOL
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ā Summary
SOL/USDT is at a critical breakdown point:
š”ļø Key Support: $158.12ā$158.74
š« Resistance: $159.91 (must reclaim to flip bullish)
ā ļø Top Trade Setups:
1. Short Scalp: $159.30ā$159.50 ā target $158.00
2. Breakdown Short: < $158.10 ā target $155.00
3. Counter Long Only: $158.50 with bullish signs
š Avoid fresh longs above $159.00 unless confirmed by volume/RSI breakout.
š¤ Exit 50% at $158.50 if short. Watch $158 zone closely ā it's make-or-break for bulls.
TAKE TRADE FROM HERE š$SOL
š. FOLLOW for more updates