๐๏ธ Date: June 12, 2025
๐ฐ Current Price: $0.18828 (-5.86%)
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๐ Key Changes vs Previous
โ Broke below EMA(7) and psychological support at $0.19
๐ RSI dropped to 43.22 โ nearing oversold
๐งฏ Volume collapse: 328M vs 5-day avg 754M DOGE
โ ๏ธ Full bear EMA alignment: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99)
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๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Capitulation-style drop
Price broke below EMA(7) and previous low โ structure break
RSI approaching oversold โ small bounce possible, no confirmation yet
๐ชซ Volume Concern
Weak volume โ not a strong sellerโs market, possibly weak hand exit
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๐งฑ Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Support:
$0.18760 (24h low)
$0.18048 (chart support)
Resistance:
$0.19070 (EMA 7)
$0.19813 (EMA 25)
$0.20148 (chart resistance)
Breakdown Target:
$0.16426 (next floor zone)
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
โณ Next 12โ24 Hours
๐ฅ Base Case (60%): Retest $0.18760 โ break โ $0.18048
๐ฉ Bounce Case (40%): Support holds โ relief rally to $0.19070
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Close <$0.18048 โ slide toward $0.16426
โ Close >$0.19200 โ invalidates bearish bias
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๐ง Trade Plan
๐ป Short Scalp (Next 4h)
Entry: $0.18850โ$0.18900
Target: $0.18760 โ $0.18600
Stop: $0.18950
Confirm: 15m close < $0.18800
๐ Counter-Trend Long
Entry: $0.18760 (24h low)
Target: $0.18900 โ $0.19000
Stop: $0.18700
Trigger: Bullish hammer + RSI >45
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๐ Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $0.18600
Target: $0.18048 โ $0.17800
Stop: $0.18780
Confirm: 4h close < $0.18700
2. Reversal Long
Entry: $0.18048
Target: $0.18800 โ $0.19070
Stop: $0.17900
Trigger: RSI <35 + volume spike >500M
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค1.5% of account
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $0.18600, 50% at $0.18200
Long: 50% at $0.18900, 50% at $0.19070
Max Risk: 0.8% of account
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โ๏ธ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h candle below $0.18760
! RSI stays <40
! Volume spike on red candle
! EMA spread widening (death cross)
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Bullish divergence (1h chart)
! RSI >50
! 4h close above $0.19070
! Volume >600M DOGE
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โ Summary
DOGE/USDT is in clear downtrend with weak volume and approaching oversold:
๐จ Key Resistance: $0.19070
๐ Critical Support: $0.18760 โ break = bearish continuation
โ๏ธ Best Trades:
1. Short scalp: $0.18850 โ target $0.18600
2. Breakdown short: <$0.18760 โ target $0.18048
3. Counter long only: $0.18760 or $0.18048 w/ confirmation
๐ค Take profits around $0.18600 if short.
โ ๏ธ Avoid premature longs โ wait for volume confirmation or bullish RSI reversal.
TAKE TRADE FROM HERE ๐ $DOGE
๐ Follow for more analysis
