$DOGE 🗓️ Date: June 11, 2025
💰 Current Price: $0.17382 (-7.81%)
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🔍 Key Changes vs Previous
📉 Fell from $0.18828 to $0.17382 — ~10% drop
❌ Crashed below key support at $0.18359
⚠️ RSI at 29.70 = deeply oversold
📊 Volume at 968M ≈ 5-day avg (973M) → confirmed capitulation
🧨 MACD confirms bear acceleration (histogram -0.00172)
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📈 Technical Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Signals
Price below EMA(7, 25, 99) — full death cross
RSI 29.70 = lowest in recent history
Volume aligns with crash → likely institutional dump
Structure: Parabolic breakdown, high volatility
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🧱 Support & Resistance
Support Zones
$0.16987 (24h low)
$0.16341 (chart support)
$0.15948 (next floor)
Resistance Zones
$0.18359 (broken support)
$0.18513 (EMA 7)
$0.19575 (EMA 25)
🎯 Breakdown Target: $0.15948
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🔮 Price Prediction
⏳ Next 12–24 Hours
🟥 Base Case (60%): Retest $0.16987 → break toward $0.16341
🟩 Bounce Case (40%): Oversold bounce → $0.17800 → $0.18000
🗓️ 3-Day Outlook
❌ Daily close < $0.16900 = target $0.15948
✅ Reclaim $0.18359 = invalidates current bear momentum
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🧠 Trade Plan
⚡ Immediate Action (Next 4h)
1. Aggressive Long (Bounce Setup)
Entry: $0.17200–$0.17300
Target: $0.17600 → $0.17800
Stop Loss: Below $0.17000
Trigger: 1h bullish candle + RSI >32
2. Short Scalp (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $0.17500
Target: $0.17300 → $0.17100
Stop Loss: Above $0.17650
Confirm: 15m close < $0.17400
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🔄 Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $0.16950
Target: $0.16341 → $0.16000
Stop Loss: Above $0.17100
Confirm: 4h close < $0.16900
2. Relief Rally Short
Entry: $0.18000
Target: $0.17500 → $0.17200
Stop Loss: Above $0.18200
Trigger: RSI <35 at resistance
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🛡️ Risk Management
Position Size: ≤1.5% of capital (meme coin volatility)
Take Profit:
Long: 100% at $0.17600
Short: 50% at $0.17000, 50% at $0.16500
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
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⚙️ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! 4h candle < $0.16987
! RSI sustains <28
! Volume spike >1.2B DOGE
! EMA spread widens (bear continuation)
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Bullish divergence (1h)
! RSI >40 + MACD crossover
! 4h close > $0.17800
! MACD histogram > -0.0010
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✅ Summary
DOGE/USDT is in capitulation mode with RSI at extreme oversold levels:
🔐 Resistance: $0.18359 (must reclaim for trend shift)
⚠️ Support: $0.16987 (critical breakdown zone)
🧠 Top Trade Ideas:
1. Oversold bounce at $0.17250 (stop $0.17000)
2. Breakdown short below $0.16950 (stop $0.17100)
3. Short rally near $0.18000 (stop $0.18200)
🚫 Avoid heavy longs unless RSI >35 and trend structure improves
🎯 Exit bounce longs at $0.17600
⚠️ Watch for stop hunts in $0.169–$0.170 zone
> Note: RSI 29.70 is the most oversold in months. DOGE has a history of sharp 15–20% rebounds post-capitulation. 📈 Confirmation is key.
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