🇺🇸 US CPI May 2025: Mild data, expectations for interest rate cooling – Crypto market reacts positively
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May in the US has just been announced, increasing by 0.1% MoM, lower than the forecast (0.2%), and rising 2.4% YoY, also below expectations (2.5%). Core CPI – a more important measure for the Fed – also only increased by 0.1%, indicating that inflationary pressures are easing.
Immediately after the data, the crypto market reacted positively: BTC and altcoins like ETH, SOL, XRP… rose slightly, with the expectation that the Fed will loosen policy in the coming months.
However, the Fed is almost certain not to cut rates at the meeting on June 18-19, as it needs further confirmation from other economic data. The probability of a rate cut for the first time in September is increasing, with the market pricing in about 60-70%.
🔮 Impact & Trends:
• Low CPI → positive market sentiment → crypto benefits.
• BTC continues to play a safe-haven role in a cooling interest rate environment.
• Altcoins may rise faster if speculative capital returns.
⚠️ Risks to monitor:
• If CPI in June rebounds → expectations for rate cuts decrease → the market may adjust sharply.
• The Fed still pursues a 2% CPI target, so it cannot be complacent.
Conclusion: CPI data supports the short-term upward trend of the crypto market, but investors need to manage risks well, especially as the Fed has not yet sent clear signals regarding rate cuts.
