In the early hours of June 13, 2025, Israel launched a preemptive strike against Iran and declared a nationwide state of emergency. The event caused the global financial markets in general and the cryptocurrency market to immediately react with a sharp decline across most coins.
Current crypto price situation:
• Bitcoin (BTC): $103,833 (~ –4.49% compared to the previous session), fluctuating between $103,556 – $108,719.
• Ethereum (ETH): $2,523 (~ –9.03%), fluctuating between $2,523 – $2,781.
⚡️ Analysis and evaluation:
1. Reasons for price drop
• The attack on June 13, 2025, on Iran's nuclear and military facilities created a 'risk-off' sentiment across the financial market.
• Information from WSJ and FT indicates that Israel may continue its strikes, threatening the oil supply chain from Iran — which could push oil prices up to $120–130/barrel (JPMorgan), increasing inflation and pressure on the Fed.
2. Impact on the crypto market
• BTC down ~4–5%, ETH ~8–10% as funds flee from high-risk assets
• Large existing option orders, institutions still maintain strong long positions (BTC: $36.7 billion, ETH: $6.87 billion) for expiry on June 27 — indicating expectations for recovery after the dip
3. Recommended strategy
• Short term: Prioritize repositioning the portfolio, holding more than 50% in stablecoins, and limiting margin/automated trading.
• Medium/long term: If the conflict does not escalate, a technical rebound (bounce) from the strong support area (~$100k BTC, $2.5k ETH) is possible. Conversely, if the conflict escalates, it may be necessary to consider defensive strategies (hedging, reducing leverage).
• Closely monitor intelligence reports, the impact on oil supply – this will be a key direction for the Fed and clarify the global financial trend.
✅ Conclusion
• BTC & ETH are experiencing a sharp decline due to the Israel-Iran attack on the night of June 13, causing a 'risk-off' wave.
• Recovery opportunities may arise if the conflict situation is controlled.
• Portfolio recommendation: increase stablecoins, limit risks, wait for signs of stabilization before re-entering positions.
Note: This is a market analysis, not investment advice. Users need to consider risks and take responsibility.