Survival rules in the cryptocurrency circle: six deadly traps and ways to break through
I. Short-term gambler trap
1. Data truth:
Day traders have an annual loss rate of up to 97%
Frequent transaction fees erode 60% of potential income
Wallet addresses that hold coins for more than 3 years have a profit probability of 89%
2. Solution:
Set up a 365-day fixed deposit lock
Delete the mobile trading app
Adopt the "buy-forget" strategy
II. Emotional chasing trap
1. Behavioral economics analysis:
FOMO stage: 45% of transactions in the top 20% area
Panic selling: 80% of chips are exchanged in the bottom 30% area
2. Reverse operation guide:
Reduce positions when the community appears "It's too late to get on the bus"
Establish an observation warehouse when the mainstream media starts to sing bad news
Use fixed investment to dilute timing risks
III. Cognitive deficit trap
1. Four-dimensional framework for project evaluation:
[Technology] GitHub submission quality
[Economy] Token release curve
[Team] Past project resume
[Community] Developer activity
2. Quick minesweeper list:
Official website has no team member information
Token concentration > 40%
Audit report missing
Signs of buying fans on social media
IV. Wealth illusion trap
1. Real income distribution:
The top 1% of addresses hold 90% of wealth
Holders of 100x coins experience an average of 3 halvings
90% of NFT projects return to zero
2. Rational expectation management:
Annualized 30% means outperforming the traditional market
Allocation does not exceed 10% of liquid assets
Establish a 3-year wealth plan
V. Knowledge stagnation trap
1. 2024 compulsory courses:
DeFi: Calculation of impermanent loss of liquidity pools
NFT: ERC-6551 account abstraction
Layer2: Differences between ZK-Rollup and OP-Rollup
RWA: U.S. debt tokenization arbitrage
2. Learning roadmap
Read 2 white papers per week
Complete 1 on-chain operation experiment per month
Participate in developer AMA every quarter
VI. Disorderly transaction trap
1. Operation manual template
[Entry] Triple indicator verification
[Stop loss] Technical position + capital ratio double defense line
[Stop profit] Step-by-step profit taking
[Replay] Trading log analysis
2. Military-level discipline
Trading ≤ 3 times a day
Single loss ≤ 2%
Forced truce on weekends
Withdraw the principal immediately if the profit exceeds 20%
When you find that you no longer care about daily ups and downs and start to study economic models; when you refuse to participate in 99% of "opportunities" and only focus on 1% of cognitive arbitrage
You are no longer a leek, but a real market hunter
In the currency circle, the biggest risk is not what you missed, but that you participated in a game that you should not participate in!Like + follow Wen Ge, keep updating! #bnb #BTC☀️