Core dynamics
✅ Historic breakthrough: BTC strongly broke through the previous high resistance of $110,000, confirming a daily close above this level, establishing a bullish pattern.
✅ Short-term trend: May retrace to the 109,450~108,850 range to seek support, and after gathering strength, it is expected to continue rising, targeting historical highs.
✅ Key opportunity: Currently may be the "most important short-term bullish opportunity in the coming weeks," with previous buying opportunities at 94,000 and 100,600 having proven successful.
Technical analysis
✅ Weekly level: US-China trade negotiations have released positive news; if it stabilizes above the key level of 110,600, the upward target looks towards 114,000.
✅ Potential risk: If there are no further positive developments after negotiations (such as a Fed rate cut), it may enter a phase of short-term fluctuations.
Operational strategy:
✅ Direction: Bullish in the long term, but be cautious about chasing highs.
✅ Entry signal: Go long after breaking 111,700 (strict stop loss).
Market sentiment and data
✅ Liquidation warning: In the past 4 hours, the entire network experienced liquidations of $206 million, with short positions accounting for 97% ($200 million), reflecting that bears were wiped out during severe volatility.
✅ Altcoin opportunities: BTC's market cap percentage has temporarily declined, and altcoins may welcome a rebound; it is recommended to focus on high-quality assets that have lagged.
Investment advice
✅ Patient waiting: No need to worry about missing opportunities, the market will still provide new entry points.
✅ Risk control: Gradually scale in at support levels to avoid heavy chasing at highs.
✅ Mindset management: Accumulate experience from each operation, refuse to fall into the "regret loop," and focus on the next opportunity.
"Every experience is a valuable learning opportunity; staying calm is essential to capturing larger market movements in the future."
Note: Closely monitor the progress of US-China negotiations and Fed policy trends, as short-term volatility may intensify.
