Is the dream of interest rate cuts cooling down again? The decision to 'hold steady' in June is almost a certainty, and the Federal Reserve is staying strong!
The latest data from CME's 'FedWatch' shows that the chances of seeing an interest rate cut in June are basically nonexistent—there's a 97.4% probability of maintaining the current rate, while the possibility of a rate cut is only 2.6%, which can be almost ignored.
Looking ahead to July, the market has a bit of hope:
The probability of maintaining the current rate remains as high as 69.2%
The probability of a 25 basis point cut is about 30%
A 50 basis point cut? Forget it, there's only a 0.8% chance.
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