📉 $BTC （2025-05-31 08:50）｜Long/Short Trend Index: 41 / 100（Bearish Volatility）

📉 $BTC Long and Short Trend Analysis (2025-05-30 07:50 UTC+8)｜Long and Short Trend Index: 32 / 100 (Bearish Weakening)

The short-term downward structure of BTC has initially taken shape, with a volume-driven decline spanning multiple timeframes. Bearish momentum dominates the price rhythm, and the current price has fallen below key short-term support. Market risk appetite is declining, and structural pullback risks need to be closely monitored.

🔹 15-minute chart: MACD bearish bars continue to expand, RSI reaches oversold (31.8). Although there is a short-term rebound, the moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and the rebound momentum is weak;
🔹 1-hour chart: MACD dead cross accelerates downward, bearish momentum amplifies, RSI drops to 30.7, showing a clear imbalance in the short term, with weak bullish defense;
🔹 4-hour chart: Price consecutively breaks below MA7 and MA25 support, MACD turns downward above the zero line, RSI falls to 34.6, indicating a clear bearish structural shift, and the previous oscillation platform has been effectively broken;
🔹 Daily chart: A large bearish candle breaks through MA7 support, giving back nearly 7 days of gains, MACD peaks and turns, RSI falls below 60 to 54.3, indicating exhaustion of upward momentum, and the market may enter a mid-term consolidation phase;
🔹 Weekly chart: K-line forms a high-level engulfing pattern, MACD remains in a strong bullish area but with shrinking momentum, RSI retreats from a high level to 63.4, indicating caution for the formation of a top structure at the weekly level.

📊 Technical Indicator Summary:
(1) MACD: Multi-timeframe dead cross resonance, high-level momentum continues to release;
(2) RSI: 15m/1H/4H severely oversold, daily line loses the strong zone;
(3) Moving Average System: Multi-timeframe MA7/MA25 dead cross, short and medium-term trends weaken simultaneously;
(4) Trading Volume: Clear characteristics of volume-driven declines, with market selling pressure dominating sentiment.

📉 Brief Trend Judgment:
Short-term breakdown, weak rebound, signs of mid-term structural imbalance are emerging. The current BTC trend is dominated by bears, and there are no reversal conditions at the moment. Attention should be paid to the support and loss at the 105000 level; if it breaks, it will open up larger downward space.

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Note: The long and short trend index is more a judgment of the current market situation rather than a prediction of future market movements. Please do not simply trade based on the long and short trend index.