📉 $BTC （2025-06-02 07:00）｜#多空趋势指数 ：41 / 100（Slightly Weak Consolidation）

Short-term rebound momentum weakens, medium-term moving average resistance, still within a downward channel

🔹 Multi-timeframe K-line trend assessment：

• 15-minute chart: Continuous rise followed by consolidation, short-term momentum slows, price under MA99 resistance;

• 1-hour chart: Bottom rebound significantly resisted by MA99, short-term rebound may be nearing its end;

• 4-hour chart: MACD golden cross but has not exited the downward structure, rebound remains a weak recovery;

• Daily chart: Still in a high-level consolidation pullback structure, price has not reclaimed the 25-day moving average;

• Weekly chart: Last week's large bearish candle pullback has not stabilized, long-term structure remains weak.

📈 Technical indicators observation：

1. MACD: Multi-timeframe low-level golden cross, rebound momentum initially appears, but red bars lack sustainability;

2. RSI: 1H and 4H charts are close to overbought, short-term adjustment pressure gradually emerges;

3. Moving average system: All timeframe moving averages are arranged bearishly, 4H/1H/15m are all under MA99 resistance;

4. Trading volume: Rebound volume gradually shrinks, insufficient momentum to support sustained rises.

🌐 Brief macro news summary (including sources)：

1. Mt.Gox confirms it will return 140,000 BTC in early July (Source: The Block, 2025-06-01);

2. US PCE data fell short of expectations, triggering short-term market hedging (Source: CNBC, 2025-05-31);

3. Active addresses on the Bitcoin chain decreased by 10% (Source: Glassnode, 2025-06-01);

4. ETF fund inflows have been negative for five consecutive days, institutions pause increases (Source: CoinShares, 2025-06-01).

Conclusion: The current rebound lacks bullish volume, significantly resisted by medium to long-term moving averages, the market tends to present a high-selling window during weak rebounds. If unable to break through 106800 with increased volume, a bearish consolidation structure will be maintained. Risk control is a priority, cautious on the left side chasing longs.