Bitcoin New High, Altcoins Go Silent, What is Smart Money Doing?

The structural bull market is a foregone conclusion, and the bloodletting effect of capital migration has already begun. 13,175,362,784 breaks the $110,000 new high, with 78% of funds flowing into BTC/ETH, and BlackRock's ETF attracting $44.5 billion in a single month.

The liquidity of altcoins is depleted, with average trading depth shrinking by 65%, and 30% of tokens hitting annual lows; panic selling triggers a death spiral. The market has never risen and fallen in unison, and the lesson of 73% loss for altcoin investors in 2021 is repeating.

The root of the divergence is that institutions only recognize compliant assets. The SEC clearly states that BTC/ETH are not securities, while altcoins like SOL's ecosystem saw KOLs sell off 80% of their holdings in 7 days. Bitcoin's daily trading volume is $30 billion vs. an average of less than $500 million for altcoins, making it impossible for large funds to turn around.

Historically, when altcoins' β coefficient relative to BTC > 1, the probability of a crash is 67% → at this time, shorting BTC with a 25% position hedges the risk. Strategy operation key points data support position evolution theory ≤ 5% position betting on high β altcoins, such as AI + DePIN concepts, projects with on-chain active addresses > 5000 have a 3x higher rebound probability. Stablecoin ammunition reserve reserve 20% of funds, only buy the dip in altcoins when BTC pulls back to $105,000, at this position institutions build a $24 billion chip pool.

In October 2024, BTC broke $60,000 while altcoins hit new lows, and then surged 200% in the next two months. The current script is a complete replica; Ethereum breaking $3,800 will trigger altcoin season, which will hibernate and gather strength beforehand.

Accurately grasping the market trend, strategies shared in real-time, points revealed secretly. If you want to witness everything, pay close attention to me.

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