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Weekly Market Forecast 2025/5/25
*Weekly Market Forecast & Trading Competition Update
One social media post can change it all - everybody trading or investing had to witness that last week once again. With Donald Trump suddenly announcing that from June 1st, 2025, there would be 50% tariffs on imported products from the European Union, most of the so-called risk-on financial markets hit the brakes quite hard. This was especially true for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin currently fighting hard to stay above the very important 107,000 USD support zone. This actually perfectly showcases what I was talking about in my last video: Everything is positive until Donald Trump says something about tariffs again… After 26 years of investing and trading, it still does not cease to amaze (and frighten) me how dependent the market sentiment has become on Trump. Within the short-term trading we are usually doing here, this holds a special challenge for us as markets often go suddenly and violently into one direction, just to as quickly reverse on the next social media post on Trump. We are currently far outside anything you can short-term model when it comes to statistical edge with the usage of my indicators. So, once again, I urge you to have your risk management in place and rather accept that trades also end up as losers than trying to force the markets to go in the direction of your position. The good news is that if you manage to not lose money in these markets, you are already doing much better than 95% of the other traders out there…
One social media post can change it all - everybody trading or investing had to witness that last week once again. With Donald Trump suddenly announcing that from June 1st, 2025, there would be 50% tariffs on imported products from the European Union, most of the so-called risk-on financial markets hit the brakes quite hard. This was especially true for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin currently fighting hard to stay above the very important 107,000 USD support zone. This actually perfectly showcases what I was talking about in my last video: Everything is positive until Donald Trump says something about tariffs again… After 26 years of investing and trading, it still does not cease to amaze (and frighten) me how dependent the market sentiment has become on Trump. Within the short-term trading we are usually doing here, this holds a special challenge for us as markets often go suddenly and violently into one direction, just to as quickly reverse on the next social media post on Trump. We are currently far outside anything you can short-term model when it comes to statistical edge with the usage of my indicators. So, once again, I urge you to have your risk management in place and rather accept that trades also end up as losers than trying to force the markets to go in the direction of your position. The good news is that if you manage to not lose money in these markets, you are already doing much better than 95% of the other traders out there…
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