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【De Uncle Indicators Open Week】 New strategy/indicator launched, free for 2 weeks, welcome everyone to join, see pinned comment in new video or channel homepage for joining method!
Trading Bot Development Update
I am pleased to present this development update on the Trading Bot project. The system has successfully completed the critical development phases and comprehensive testing protocols with the trading engine now working bug-free. For those of you who are more interested in some technical details, here is a brief development overview:

[De Uncle's Index Open Week] New strategies/indicators open for free for 2 weeks, everyone is welcome to play, see the pinned comment in the new video or the channel homepage for joining methods!
Weekly Market Forecast
Markets experienced heightened volatility this week as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran initially roiled global assets before diplomatic developments eased concerns. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain rates at 4.25-4.50% was overshadowed by more hawkish projections showing fewer anticipated rate cuts in 2025, contributing to mixed performance across major indices despite a late-week recovery.

This week on the weekly market forecast:
➡️What is driving the markets at the moment
➡️Chart analysis and forecast for Bitcoin
‼️New free-for-all 2 week VIP channel access
‼️Sneak preview and free access to the new trend following system
➡️Important economic data releases for next week
本周市场周报内容：
➡️当前市场驱动因素分析
➡️比特币图表分析与预测
‼️新的2周VIP频道免费体验
‼️新趋势跟踪系统预览及免费体验
➡️下周重要经济数据发布时间
The US economy is growing faster than usual. While growth was slow in early 2025, it's now picking up speed and should exceed 3% this quarter. People are still spending money steadily, even though consumer confidence surveys show they're worried. This is likely because prices aren't rising too fast and jobs are still available.
Jobs are holding steady. Yes, companies aren't hiring as much as before, but they're also not firing people. The unemployment rate is around 4.2% - that's actually better than the historical average of 5.5%. Companies want to keep their good employees. Plus, wages are going up about 3.9% while prices are only rising about 2.4%, so workers are actually getting ahead.
Prices aren't rising too fast. Recent data shows inflation is around 2.4% for everyday goods and 2.6% for wholesale prices. That's way down from 2022 when prices were soaring at 9% or even 18%. The Federal Reserve wants inflation at 2%, and we're getting close.
What about tariffs? They haven't pushed prices up yet. Companies stocked up on inventory ahead of time, which is helping keep prices stable for now. But depending on future trade deals, we might see prices rise later this year.
Oil prices are something to watch. Recent Middle East tensions pushed oil prices up 5-7% last week. But historically, these spikes don't last long. Also, the U.S. produces its own oil now and doesn't rely on energy as much as it used to, so we're less vulnerable to oil price shocks.
美国经济增长速度超过往常。 尽管2025年初增长缓慢，但现在正在加速，本季度增长率应该会超过3%。尽管消费者信心调查显示人们感到担忧，但消费支出依然稳定。这可能是因为物价上涨不算太快，而且就业机会仍然充足。
就业市场保持稳定。 是的，企业招聘不如以前那么多，但也没有裁员。失业率约为4.2%——这实际上优于5.5%的历史平均水平。企业希望留住优秀员工。此外，工资上涨约3.9%，而物价仅上涨约2.4%，所以工人的实际收入在增加。
物价上涨速度不快。 最新数据显示，日常商品的通胀率约为2.4%，批发价格为2.6%。这比2022年价格飙升9%甚至18%的时候下降了很多。美联储希望通胀率达到2%，我们正在接近这个目标。
关税怎么样？ 它们还没有推高物价。企业提前囤积了库存，这有助于目前保持价格稳定。但根据未来的贸易协议，我们可能会在今年晚些时候看到价格上涨。
油价值得关注。 最近的中东紧张局势使油价上周上涨了5-7%。但从历史上看，这些价格飙升不会持续很久。此外，美国现在自己生产石油，不像过去那样依赖能源，所以我们对油价冲击的脆弱性降低了。

For Bitcoin the 8 weeks simple moving average (blue line) has been short term acting as a good zone of support… however by the looks of it price is entering a phase of price compression, which usually sooner or later results in a volatile breakout. The question is, of course, if the breakout will be to the upside or downside. Should it happen now my bet would be on the upside but the longer the compression phase lasts the more likely a breakout to the downside is… As I said in the past weeks over and over again we are running out of time for this cycle slowly and the phase where Bitcoin goes in the “crazy bull market mode” needs to start, imho, until mid August 2025. The next 8 to 10 weeks will probably be very exciting!
对于比特币而言，8周简单移动平均线（蓝线）在短期内一直作为良好的支撑区域发挥作用……然而从目前的情况来看，价格正在进入价格压缩阶段，这通常迟早会导致剧烈的突破。当然，问题在于突破是向上还是向下。如果现在发生突破，我会押注向上突破，但压缩阶段持续得越久，向下突破的可能性就越大……正如我在过去几周反复说过的，我们这个周期的时间正在慢慢耗尽，在我看来，比特币进入"疯狂牛市模式"的阶段需要在2025年8月中旬之前开始。接下来的8到10周可能会非常令人兴奋！

New 2 weeks VIP signal Group access and Introduction of the new trend following system
I am happy to announce that by the end of the week we will, by popular demand, give free access again for 2 weeks to the VIP signal group. This means you will have access to the VIP group for free and be able to see for yourself if the MEI & G-Force Signals are something that can help you with your trading. 
Additionally we will stream the new trend following system for Bitcoin live in this group so you can see live for yourself what to expect from it. This is the system that will eventually also be rolled out as a trading bot (that will still take some time as I am testing it with my own money first). I have been working very, very hard on that system the past months and I am now very satisfied with the results of my backtests… backtests in this case NOT meaning that it was optimized on data (that would be curve fitting and result in losses when trading in the real markets), but filtering signals, for example, on things average expected win vs money risked, time of day when the system is most effective and so on.
Here a little preview on how it will look as a chart - I am aiming at a very simple and clean look with very easy take profit and stop loss rules
新的2周VIP信号群免费体验及新趋势跟踪系统介绍
我很高兴地宣布，应大众要求，我们将在本周末再次提供为期2周的VIP信号群免费体验。这意味着您将免费获得VIP群的访问权限，能够亲自体验MEI和G-Force信号是否对您的交易有所帮助。
此外，我们将在该群组中实时直播比特币的新趋势跟踪系统，让您能够实时亲眼看到它的预期表现。这个系统最终也将作为交易机器人推出（这还需要一些时间，因为我正在先用自己的资金进行测试）。过去几个月我一直在非常、非常努力地开发这个系统，现在我对回测结果非常满意……这里的回测并不是指在数据上进行优化（那将是曲线拟合，在真实市场交易时会导致亏损），而是根据诸如平均预期盈利与风险资金比率、系统在一天中最有效的时间等因素来筛选信号。
这里是它在图表上的外观预览 - 我的目标是非常简洁清晰的外观，配合非常简单的止盈和止损规则。

I will record a video next week where I will explain the details of the system, trading rules, risk management and what to expect in terms of return on investment - we will release that video then on Bilibili. A quick preview on that performance metrics of the system:
我将在下周录制一个视频，详细解释该系统的细节、交易规则、风险管理以及投资回报率的预期表现——我们届时将在哔哩哔哩上发布该视频。以下是该系统性能指标的快速预览：

Notice please that the system is geared toward the best risk-adjusted return, meaning that it is aiming at having the best return on investment per USDT risked. It is not aiming to have the highest success rate possible, because that does not necessarily mean you will have the highest risk adjusted return. The 2 metrics we want to aim to have as high as possible are Sharpe Ratio and Profit factor, which are at institutional level here and unlike anything else that is available to retail traders.
However, as I said more details on it by the end of next week in the new video 🙂
请注意，该系统旨在实现最佳的风险调整回报，这意味着它的目标是每个风险USDT获得最佳的投资回报。它并不追求尽可能高的成功率，因为这并不一定意味着您将获得最高的风险调整回报。我们希望尽可能提高的两个指标是夏普比率和盈利因子，这些指标达到了机构级别的水平，是散户交易者无法获得的其他任何工具所能比拟的。
不过，正如我所说，更多细节将在下周末的新视频中介绍 🙂
Important economic releases next week
下周重要经济数据发布

Plenty of data coming in next week with China’s Industrial production and Retail Sales starting already Monday morning…. The international markets will, of course, closely monitor the US interest rate decision on Wednesday. Although no change of interest rates is expected market participants will very closely monitor what the chairman of the FED, Jerome Powell, has to say in the press conference starting 30 minutes after the interest rate decision.
Have a good start into the week!
下周将有大量数据发布，中国的工业生产和零售销售数据将在周一早上率先公布……国际市场当然会密切关注周三的美国利率决议。尽管预计利率不会发生变化，但市场参与者将非常密切地关注美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在利率决议后30分钟开始的新闻发布会上的讲话。
祝您新的一周有个好的开始！

Weekly Market Forecast
Job Market Shows Strength Despite Some Concerns The job market performed better than expected in May, which helped calm fears about the economy slowing down too quickly. Companies are still being cautious about both hiring new workers and laying people off, but the good news is that wages are growing faster than prices are rising, meaning workers' purchasing power is improving.
Stock Markets Are Doing Very Well Stock markets around the world have bounced back strongly and are now at record highs - up 20% since their low point in April. This recovery is being driven by solid company performance, reduced trade tensions between countries, and strong corporate profits.
周市场预测
就业市场表现强劲，尽管仍有一些担忧 五月份就业市场表现好于预期，这有助于缓解人们对经济放缓过快的担忧。企业在招聘新员工和裁员方面仍然保持谨慎，但好消息是工资增长速度超过了物价上涨幅度，这意味着工人的购买力正在提高。
股市表现非常出色 全球股市强势反弹，目前已达到创纪录高位——自四月份低点以来上涨了20%。这轮复苏主要得益于公司业绩稳健、国家间贸易紧张局势缓解以及企业利润强劲。
Market Gains Have Multiple Drivers While some of the recent stock market gains come from investors being willing to pay higher prices for shares (which could signal overconfidence), much of the growth is also backed by companies actually earning more money, particularly large technology companies.
Some Challenges Still Ahead There are still potential bumps in the road, including ongoing trade disputes and tariff decisions, upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate choices, and political debates about government spending limits. These issues could cause market swings, but the underlying strength of the economy provides a solid foundation to weather potential turbulence.
市场上涨有多重驱动因素 虽然近期股市上涨部分原因是投资者愿意为股票支付更高价格（这可能表明过度自信），但大部分增长也得到了公司实际盈利增加的支撑，尤其是大型科技公司。
仍面临一些挑战 前路仍有潜在障碍，包括持续的贸易争端和关税决定、即将到来的美联储利率选择，以及围绕政府支出限额的政治辩论。这些问题可能导致市场波动，但经济的基本面强劲为抵御潜在动荡提供了坚实基础。
Despite the whole sentiment looking more promising again Cryptocurrencies are in troubled water with some technical analysts even stating that the current market structure during this bull run looks almost exactly like the double top we encountered in 2021….
尽管整体情绪再次显得更加乐观，但加密货币正处于困境之中，一些技术分析师甚至表示，当前牛市期间的市场结构看起来几乎与我们在2021年遇到的双重顶部完全相同……

I agree to a certain extent that the structure looks the same, however when it comes to looking at structures like this we need to be very careful due to the Pattern Recognition Trap: Human brains are naturally wired to find patterns, even where none actually exist. When looking at charts, we can easily convince ourselves we see meaningful similarities between different time periods, especially when we're actively looking for them. The highlighted boxes in this Bitcoin chart are a perfect example - while there may be some visual similarity, the underlying market conditions, catalysts, and context were very different between 2021 and 2025. 
I still believe that, if we do not see any black swan events like escalating wars or really bad economic outturns that this bull market in both, stocks and crypto, is going to continue until Q4 2025 with, of course, a lot of violent up and downs inbetween.
我在一定程度上同意这种结构看起来相似，但是在观察这样的结构时，我们需要非常谨慎，因为存在**模式识别陷阱：**人类大脑天生倾向于寻找模式，即使在实际上并不存在模式的地方也是如此。在查看图表时，我们很容易说服自己看到不同时期之间有意义的相似性，特别是当我们主动寻找这些相似性时。这张比特币图表中突出显示的方框就是一个完美的例子——虽然可能存在一些视觉上的相似性，但2021年和2025年之间的潜在市场条件、催化因素和背景环境是非常不同的。
我仍然相信，如果我们没有看到任何黑天鹅事件，比如战争升级或真正糟糕的经济结果，那么股市和加密货币的这轮牛市将持续到2025年第四季度，当然，期间会有很多剧烈的上下波动。
Live Trading sessions
As you already noticed @assistanthuan is back in action with some nice trading results, which she will continue to share with you on the chat. Remember everything she does you can do as well as she is not using any secret indicators but the same one you have as a live stream here: MEI & G-Force, especially the confluence signals.
I will eventually also re-join the live trading action, however at the moment I am very focussed on 2 things: 
Getting our very own trading bot ready that does not depend on any third-party software. I shared a little picture of the first version of the front end already the other day in this chat.
Continuing the live testing of my Gold trend-following trading strategy, for which I also shared a screenshot the other day.
As soon as those 2 are up and working they will be released to this community offering you something no other trading community on this planet is currently offering: Institutional grade performance.
实时交易课程
正如你们已经注意到的，@assistanthuan 重新回到了行动中，并取得了不错的交易成果，她将继续在聊天中与你们分享。记住，她所做的一切你们也都能做到，因为她没有使用任何秘密指标，而是使用与你们在这里直播中相同的指标：MEI和G-Force，特别是汇合信号。
我最终也会重新加入实时交易行动，但目前我非常专注于两件事：
准备我们自己的交易机器人，它不依赖于任何第三方软件。前几天我已经在这个聊天中分享了前端第一版本的小截图。
继续对我的黄金趋势跟踪交易策略进行实时测试，前几天我也分享了相关截图。
一旦这两个项目准备就绪并运行，它们将发布给这个社区，为你们提供目前地球上没有其他交易社区能够提供的东西：机构级别的表现。
Important economic releases next week
下周重要经济数据发布

Most important economic releases next week are the inflation reports from China and the USA… While China is tapping into deflation territory with negative inflation already the numbers for the USA are expected to come in with a higher 2.5 %. I personally think that expected number is a bit too high and that the markets might actually be pleasantly surprised by a number below 2.5 % - however as always it is not wise to gamble on the outcome of economic releases.
Have a good start into the new week!
下周最重要的经济数据发布是来自中国和美国的通胀报告……虽然中国正在进入通缩区域，通胀率已经为负值，但美国的数据预计将达到较高的2.5%。我个人认为这个预期数字有点过高，市场实际上可能会因为低于2.5%的数字而感到惊喜——但是一如既往，对经济数据发布结果进行赌博是不明智的。
祝大家新的一周开始愉快！

Weekly Market Forecast
1 step forward, 2 steps back…. The last week was a weird one and, once again, all about tariffs, tariffs, tariffs (are you also sick of hearing that word, hahaha?)... apart from that we saw some better than expected corporate earnings with artificial intelligence (AI) giant #Nividia delivering solid results, despite the overhang from trade restrictions in China. Nonetheless, despite the ongoing uncertainty, the #S&P500 is up about 6% for the month of May and is slightly positive this year. Historically, a strong May has boded well for the forward 12-month market performance.
Despite good overall news from the tech sector #bitcoin was not able to stay above the very important support area around 107,000 USD… 
每周市场预测
进一步退两步......上周是奇怪的一周，再次围绕关税、关税、关税展开（你是否也厌倦了听到这个词，哈哈哈？）......除此之外，我们看到了一些超出预期的企业盈利，人工智能（AI）巨头#英伟达 （Nvidia）交出了稳健的业绩，尽管面临中国贸易限制的阴霾。尽管如此，尽管持续存在不确定性，标普500指数在5月份上涨了约6%，今年略有上涨。从历史上看，强劲的5月份表现对未来12个月的市场表现来说是个好兆头。
尽管科技板块总体消息良好，#比特币 仍未能保持在10.7万美元这一非常重要的支撑区域之上......

2, equally possible scenarios will unfold from here… we form a new higher low around this area and the markets will continue upwards or we will see the same scenario like in 2021 when Bitcoin formed a double top at 69,000 USD to then switch into bear market mode. Since I do not think the bull market is over yet I lean towards the more positive scenario. However, at this point it is a bit like rolling a dice. 
从这里开始，两种同样可能的情况将会展开......我们在这个区域形成一个新的更高低点，市场将继续上涨，或者我们将看到与2021年相同的情况，当时比特币在69,000美元形成双顶，然后进入熊市模式。由于我认为牛市尚未结束，我倾向于更积极的情况。然而，此时这有点像掷骰子。

There is still time and space to reach the upper bands of the logarithmic regression… until end of October or, if you are more following Giovannis Power Law analysis of Bitcoin until end of January 2026 with a target of about 200,000 USD.
仍有时间和空间达到对数回归的上轨......直到10月底，或者，如果你更关注乔瓦尼对比特币的幂律分析，则到2026年1月底，目标价约为20万美元。

Interesting sidenote: According to the power law the fair valuation of Bitcoin currently is around 96,000 USD….so we are a bit overvalued right now.
有趣的旁注：根据幂律，比特币目前的公允估值约为96,000美元......所以我们现在有点被高估了。
What am I currently working on?
As many of you noticed I am not very active at the moment when it comes to manual trading. As @assistanthuan has become a very capable trading I leave most of the manual trading now to her. You frequently see her sharing the amazing profits she manages to make with the MEI & G-Force indicators. I am, at the moment, concentrating on developing and back testing an automated, trend following strategy where all my findings, indicators and knowledge will be combined into a bot that trades them automatically.
I know many of you are waiting for this and I hope you understand that the implementation of this takes a lot of time due to rigorous backtesting and me, as always, risking my own money first. However, the effort should be worth it as I am aiming to offer you a solution that you normally have no access to as retail traders… an institutional grade trading bot that delivers steady results. 
I want to give you a little sneak peak on what to expect:
我目前在做什么？
正如你们许多人注意到的，我目前在手动交易方面不太活跃。由于 @assistanthuan 已经成为一个非常有能力的交易者，我现在将大部分手动交易交给她。你们经常看到她分享用MEI和G-Force指标取得的惊人利润。我目前专注于开发和回测一个自动化的趋势跟踪策略，我所有的发现、指标和知识将被整合到一个自动交易的机器人中。
我知道你们中的许多人在等待这个，我希望你们理解，由于严格的回测以及我一如既往地首先拿自己的钱冒险，这个实施过程需要很长时间。然而，这种努力应该是值得的，因为我的目标是为你们提供一个作为散户交易者通常无法获得的解决方案......一个提供稳定结果的机构级交易机器人。
我想给你们一个关于预期内容的小小预览：

Important: These results are not optimized, meaning this is not the result of curve fitting to show you results that are not repeatable. This is the reality of how my strategy would have performed over the course of the last 3 months including trading fees and spread. 
Especially the Sharpe Ratio of 5.95 is exceptional, within the worldwide top 1 % of trading strategies and something normal retail traders would never have access to. Also important: These results are from 126 days of trading and done without any leverage…. On each trade only the account balance was invested, so technically a leverage of 1:1 was used.
The annualized return is at 134.9 % and compared to a Bitcoin buy and hold strategy or the results of other institutional players is also exceptional:
重要提示：这些结果没有经过优化，意味着这不是曲线拟合的结果来向你们展示不可重复的结果。这是我的策略在过去3个月中表现的真实情况，包括交易费用和点差。
特别是5.95的夏普比率是非常出色的，在全球交易策略中排名前1%，这是普通散户交易者永远无法获得的。同样重要的是：这些结果来自126天的交易，且没有使用任何杠杆......每笔交易只投入账户余额，所以技术上使用的是1:1的杠杆。
年化收益率为134.9%，与比特币买入持有策略或其他机构投资者的结果相比也是非常出色的：

This is how a 10,000 USD account would have developed and also a graphical visualization of the drawdowns:
这是一个10,000美元账户的发展情况，以及回撤的图形化展示：

Trading this strategy with leverage of 3,5 or 10 x would have enhanced the returns further, but of course also made the drawdowns larger… a leverage of 5x resulted, for example, in a return of 122,5 % for 126 days of trading with a drawdown of 27.9 %.... I think this illustrates also very well why I am always telling you to not trade with high leverage hahaha
使用3倍、5倍或10倍杠杆交易这一策略本可以进一步提高收益，但当然也会使回撤更大......例如，5倍杠杆在126天的交易中产生了122.5%的收益，回撤为27.9%......我认为这也很好地说明了为什么我总是告诉你们不要用高杠杆交易，哈哈哈
What are the next steps?
The automation of the strategy is very complex, as not only the signals of the MEI and G-Force are utilized but a lot of additional data also feeds into the signal and risk management logic. There currently is no ready made bot framework solution out there that can do that, so I will start developing my own solution that comes with a nice frontend that ultimately you guys can also use to “plug into the strategy” via API. So be patient and continue to develop your manual trading skills by trading with the MEI & G-Force indicators… the wait will be worth it, I promise you.
Have a good start into the next week!
下一步是什么？
策略的自动化非常复杂，因为不仅利用了MEI和G-Force的信号，还有大量额外数据也输入到信号和风险管理逻辑中。目前市面上没有现成的机器人框架解决方案可以做到这一点，所以我将开始开发自己的解决方案，配备一个漂亮的前端界面，最终你们也可以通过API"接入这个策略"。所以请耐心等待，继续通过使用MEI和G-Force指标来发展你们的手动交易技能......这个等待将是值得的，我向你们保证。
祝你们下周有个好的开始！

*Weekly Market Forecast & Trading Competition Update
One social media post can change it all - everybody trading or investing had to witness that last week once again. With Donald Trump suddenly announcing that from June 1st, 2025, there would be 50% tariffs on imported products from the European Union, most of the so-called risk-on financial markets hit the brakes quite hard. This was especially true for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin currently fighting hard to stay above the very important 107,000 USD support zone. This actually perfectly showcases what I was talking about in my last video: Everything is positive until Donald Trump says something about tariffs again… After 26 years of investing and trading, it still does not cease to amaze (and frighten) me how dependent the market sentiment has become on Trump. Within the short-term trading we are usually doing here, this holds a special challenge for us as markets often go suddenly and violently into one direction, just to as quickly reverse on the next social media post on Trump. We are currently far outside anything you can short-term model when it comes to statistical edge with the usage of my indicators. So, once again, I urge you to have your risk management in place and rather accept that trades also end up as losers than trying to force the markets to go in the direction of your position. The good news is that if you manage to not lose money in these markets, you are already doing much better than 95% of the other traders out there…