Latest market data and technical analysis on May 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) daily market trend prediction is as follows:

Support level: $106,000 (30-day moving average), $104,500 (ascending trend line support).

Resistance level: $110,000 (integer barrier), $112,500 (historical high point).

Current price: approximately $108,060, positioned in the middle of the $106,000-$110,000 oscillation range.

Indicator signals

RSI: 4-hour chart fell to 58 (neutral to strong), daily level remains at 65 (overbought correction in progress).

MACD: A death cross has appeared, histogram volume is decreasing, and short-term momentum is weakening.

Bollinger Bands: After narrowing, the price is running at the middle band, and volatility is decreasing.

Fear and Greed Index: 66 (greed zone), indicating market sentiment is optimistic but there are divergences.

Options market: The put/call ratio has risen to 1.25, reflecting concerns about downside risks.

Capital flow

ETF funds: The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $2.75 billion in one week, but on the 24th, it experienced a single-day net outflow of $130 million for the first time, caution is needed for short-term profit-taking.

Exchange inventory: Continuously decreasing, showing a reluctance to sell.

Expectations for interest rate cuts in June delayed, actual U.S. Treasury yields remain high, which may suppress risk assets.

Trump's comments on tariffs on the EU triggered market volatility, enhancing Bitcoin's safe-haven attributes.

Active addresses: Maintained above 200,000, long-term holders (>155 days) account for 73.5%, indicating institutional confidence.

Whale movements: Recent large transfers have decreased, easing selling pressure.

Long conditions: If the price breaks above $110,000 with increased trading volume, a light position can be followed, targeting $112,500, with a stop loss below $109,500.

Short conditions: If it breaks below the $106,000 support, short positions can be taken for the short term, targeting $104,500, with a stop loss above $106,500.

Entry range: Build positions in batches between $104,500-$106,000, with a stop loss at $103,800, targeting $110,000.

High sell low buy strategy

Reduction signal: Reduce part of the position near the $111,000-$112,000 area to lock in profits.

Low position absorption: If it pulls back to the $100,000 integer barrier and shows a stop-loss signal (such as a long lower shadow), positions can be built in batches.

Bitcoin may continue to oscillate at high levels in the short term, attention should be paid to the breakout situation of the $106,000 support and $110,000 resistance.