#比特币突破11万美元

Latest market trends and technical analysis on May 24, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) market trend prediction is as follows:

I. Price Trend and Key Levels

Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $108,000, down 2.8% from yesterday, with an intraday trading range of $107,500 - $111,200.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels: $106,000 (21-day moving average), $108,000 (round number and short-term moving average support).

Resistance Levels: $110,000 (psychological round number), $112,500 (historical high).

II. Technical Analysis

Short-term Trend: Daily MACD momentum is weakening, RSI is falling back to 69 (neutral to weak), indicating short-term adjustment pressure. The 4-hour level shows a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, which, if it breaks through $2,720 (Ethereum linkage effect), may trigger a new round of rises.

Risk Signal: 91% of Bitcoin's supply is in profit, close to the historical high warning line (95%), requiring vigilance against profit-taking.

III. Market Dynamics and Catalysts

Institutional Funds: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) holds 651,617 coins, worth approximately $71.31 billion, with continuous inflows supporting the price.

Macro Risk: Trump announced a 50% tariff on the EU starting June 1, triggering risk aversion in the market, putting short-term pressure on Bitcoin but with manageable declines.

On-chain Data: Active addresses hit a 3-month high, and large transaction volume increased by 25%, indicating increased institutional participation.

IV. Trading Strategy

Short-term Strategy:

Buy on Dips: If the price retraces to the $106,000 - $107,000 range (near the 30-day moving average), you can gradually enter the market with a light position, targeting $110,000, with a stop loss below $104,500.

Reduce Positions on Rallies: If it rebounds to the $111,000 - $112,000 range, you can reduce some positions to reduce risk exposure.

Risk Control: The risk of a single transaction should not exceed 1.5% of the total capital, and the overall position should be controlled within 50%.

V. Market Outlook

Bitcoin may maintain a wide range-bound pattern in the short term, and attention should be paid to the following events:

Technical Aspect: The effectiveness of the $106,000 support level and the momentum after breaking through $112,500.

Macro Aspect: Federal Reserve policy expectations, the progress of Sino-US trade frictions, and the impact of Bitcoin futures/options expiration.

Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate in the range of $106,000-$112,500 on the 24th. It is recommended to operate flexibly in combination with technical signals and macro events, giving priority to the principles of "light position, stop loss, and in batches".