When will the Federal Reserve start cutting interest rates? If the U.S. economy clearly declines in 2025, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates more than twice a year to stimulate the economy. But if the U.S. economy remains stable, the Federal Reserve may only cut rates 1-2 times, or even less, to control inflation. At least from the current perspective, the U.S. economy is still doing reasonably well. The key date is the Federal Reserve's meeting on June 18, when Powell will release the dot plot, hinting at the number of rate cuts for the year.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in June is only 8.3%, 34.2% in July, and rises to 51.5% in September. This indicates that the market generally expects a rate cut to occur in September, and if it happens, it will likely be just a 25 basis point cut, unless there is a severe collapse in the U.S. economy.#美国加征关税 #山寨季何时到来？ #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC