Yesterday, the CPI annual rate expectation was 2.4%, and the actual was 2.3%, lower than expected; CPI monthly rate 0.3%, and the actual was 0.2%, also lower than expected.
Although the CPI has shown good data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July has decreased from 51% to 35.9%.
$BTC has no major positive expectations, not even Trump can help for now! Last night's bullish-bearish situation didn't hit me hard, after a bout of fluctuations, CME data shows the probability of no rate cut in June has reached 91.8%, and in July it is 61.4%.
Next is a short-term fluctuation. There is a high probability of a range from 101 to 1055. Temporarily down to 99,700.
This morning, there indeed appeared good shorting prices around 104,900. Of course, this is the logic of shorting in the fluctuation range.
The current market sentiment does not indicate an imminent downward trend.
The fluctuation situation is larger, and the market sentiment is still relatively optimistic. At the current price, most chips are already in profit, and if you want to continue reaching new highs, it may be difficult without major positive drivers.
$ETH has surged rapidly from around 1800 to about 2730, an increase of nearly a thousand dollars, which is astonishing!
Currently, ETH is leading the rise, with altcoins rotating for gains, while Bitcoin remains in high-level fluctuations, providing opportunities for other altcoins to recover. After recovery, funds will flow back to Bitcoin.
At present, the indicators seem to have digested, and Bitcoin may again start to rise in the short term, with a high probability of breaking the historical high, so get ready for a violent bull market, the altcoin season is here.
$SOL has also broken through the key resistance level on the daily chart; the next resistance point upwards will be 219.
As long as it doesn't drop below 178 today, it can be bought on the right side, and attention can also be paid to $SOL ecosystem tokens.
RAY JUP, JTO, WIF, etc., as long as SOL is strong, these coins will surely follow.
The Altcoin Season Index has risen from a low of 13 to 31, what are you still doubting?——
The altcoin index reached an annual high of 87 on December 4, 2024.
Currently, the altcoin index of 31 serves as a launch signal: in the past 90 days, 31 of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap have outperformed Bitcoin, and Bitcoin's market share is gradually declining.
The top-performing altcoins over 90 days include $FORM, $FARTCOIN, $MKR, $WIF, $BREET.
Macro positive + altcoin explosion, a new starting point for the bull market.
Market hotspots
Meme coin frenzy:
New platforms emerging: Bonk.fun, Launchcoin (100X surge) capturing pump market share.
New coins $Glonk (double platform issuance), $GOONC, $DUPE, etc. are crazily pumping.
Classic Meme follows: $PEOPLE, $SATS, $NEIRO, $BOME with a 24-hour increase of over 60%.
Game tokens: Adventure Island token $NXPC is about to go live on Upbit, Binance Alpha, etc., with an initial circulation of 17%. Watch for opportunities below 0.5.
DeFi rebound: ETH leads the way, with $ETHFI and $EIGEN performing strongly.
Binance Wallet project: Privasea AI announced a token economic model, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens.
AI project refunds: Mirai Terminal has completed 50% SOL refunds.
BTC fluctuating at a high level. No macro negative factors, after adjustment, aiming for ATH, driving the altcoin season. Once the trend is confirmed, bold layouts can be made, with opportunities in CEX rebound and DEX Meme frenzy.
Virtuals Protocol launches VIRTUAL staking feature.
May marks a new starting point for the bull market, with Meme, games, and DeFi as the main lines, laying out positions on dips.
Crazy, the MEME market cap ceiling is opened again!
Glonk is in a frenzy! The MEME launcher is about to change the game! letsbonk. fun, Pump. fun, Believe, Four, etc. in a multi-chain melee, who can win?
Glonk, a MEME coin, is currently seeing a multi-platform and multi-chain competitive landscape.
Here are two high market cap versions
letsbonk. fun version, market cap 16M, +27782%
Pump. fun version, market cap 4.8M, +6400%
Today, Glonk is extremely popular. Due to competition between issuing platforms like letsbonk and Pump, Glonk has become the target for investors, supporting whoever they bet on.
Moreover, the founders of the aforementioned two platforms have voiced their support for their respective versions of Glonk, which has intensified market attention and speculation.
It seems that the letsbonk. fun version is currently more popular.
GOONC skyrocketed by 85000% after launch, and LAUNCHCOIN soared from a market cap of 190,000 to 230 million!
What is GOONC?
Gooncoin (GOONC), with a market cap exceeding $66 million and a trading volume over $59 million, has risen 85000% since its release. It was created on the Solana chain through the LaunchCoin mechanism of Believe App.
This coin had market makers at the opening, indicating that everything was well-prepared.
What is LAUNCHCOIN?
LAUNCHCOIN (formerly PASTERNAK) has increased more than tenfold in the past 24 hours, with a market cap surpassing $230 million.
PASTERNAK was initially launched by Ben Pasternak's Clout platform, which aimed to create the 'Wall Street + Hollywood of Web3' through tokenized social influence.
In April 2025, Clout was renamed Believe, upgrading its technology and ecosystem.
$FROGGER
Yesterday's price recommendation in the text was: 1.1M, intraday high 5.27M, successfully achieving 5 times return, those who followed along must have profited.
